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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And 
Message-ID: <20220109001137.576F71C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Sun, 9 Jan 2022 00:11:37 +0000
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ABPW10 PGTW 090000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/090000Z-090600ZJAN2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081951ZJAN2022//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/082321ZJAN2022//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 08JAN22 1800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (FIVE) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 18.3S 174.1E, APPROXIMATELY 245 NM WEST OF SUVA, FIJI, AND HAD
TRACKED EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 082100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 13.3S 147.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.7S 147.8E, APPROXIMATELY
115 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BOUGAINVILLE REEF, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATING LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A WELL-
DEFINED CENTER. A 082010Z GMI 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES
TIGHTLY-CURVED BANDING WRAPPING INTO A SMALL MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE
WITH IMPROVED OUTER BANDING. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES
IMPROVING CONDITIONS WITH NEAR-RADIAL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE (15
TO 20KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (SST). BOTH ECMWF (08/12Z) AND GFS (08/18Z) ARE NOW
INDICATING A TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH SYSTEM MAKING LANDFALL NEAR TAU
36 ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF THE CAPE YORK PENINSULA. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE  POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B (WTPS21 PGTW 082330) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO
HIGH.//
NNNN


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