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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: Neighbourhood Extending Upto 1.5 Km Above Mean Sea Level Persists. 
Message-ID: <20220112152631.811C81C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Wed, 12 Jan 2022 15:26:31 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 121500
IWB (EVENING) DATED 12-01-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:-

 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST
RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD BETWEEN 2.1 & 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
PERSISTS. HOWEVER, THE TROUGH ALOFT  IN UPPER TROPOSPHERIC LEVELS
WITH ITS AXIS AT  7.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG
LONG. 80OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 26ON.

 THE INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHWEST UTTAR PRADESH  &
NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE TROUGH FROM SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA TO SOUTH CHHATTISGARH AT
0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH KONKAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 1.5 KM
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL &
NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH TAMIL NADU & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT
0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN HIMALAYAN
REGION FROM 16TH JANUARY 2022.


RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MOST PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, WEST
BENGAL & SIKKIM AND ODISHA; AT MANY PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA,
NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, JHARKHAND, BIHAR, CHHATTISGARH,
COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM AND TELANGANA; AT A FEW PLACES OVER
ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS AND VIDARBHA AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
UTTAR PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, MARATHAWADA,
RAYALASEEMA, TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, NORTH INTERIOR
KARNATAKA AND KERALA & MAHE (.)

DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)

WEATHER WARNINGS:-

12 JANUARY (DAY 1): THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL AT
ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER BIHAR, JHARKHAND, CHHATTISGARH, WEST
BENGAL & SIKKIM AND WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER EAST UTTAR
PRADESH, VIDARBHA, ODISHA, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA,
NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM
AND TELANGANA.

 COLD WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER PUNJAB,
NORTH RAJASTHAN AND MADHYA PRADESH.

 COLD DAY CONDITIONS AT A FEW PLACES WITH SEVERE COLD AT ISOLATED
PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER WEST MADHYA PRADESH AND  COLD DAY IN ISOLATED
PLACES OVER PUNJAB, NORTH RAJASTHAN AND EAST MADHYA PRADESH.

 DENSE TO VERY DENSE FOG IN SOME PARTS VERY LIKELY OVER PUNJAB,
HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI AND  DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER
PLAINS OF HIMACHAL PRADESH AND UTTARAKHAND, UTTAR PRADESH AND NORTH
RAJASTHAN.

 SQUALLY WEATHER (WIND SPEED REACHING 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH)
OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL. FISHERMAN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE
OVER THIS AREA.

13 JANUARY (DAY 2):  HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY
OVER ODISHA.

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL AT ISOLATED PLACES
VERY LIKELY OVER ODISHA AND WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, JHARKHAND, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM AND
TELANGANA.

 COLD WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER PUNJAB,
NORTH RAJASTHAN AND MADHYA PRADESH.

 COLD DAY CONDITIONS AT A FEW PLACES WITH SEVERE COLD AT ISOLATED
PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER WEST MADHYA PRADESH AND  COLD DAY IN ISOLATED
PLACES OVER PUNJAB, NORTH RAJASTHAN, EAST MADHYA PRADESH AND ASSAM &
MEGHALAYA.

  DENSE TO VERY DENSE FOG IN SOME PARTS VERY LIKELY OVER PUNJAB,
HARYANA AND  IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER UTTAR PRADESH DENSE FOG IN
ISOLATED POCKETS OVER PLAINS OF HIMACHAL PRADESH AND UTTARAKHAND AND
NORTH RAJASTHAN.=

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