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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: North Pacific: High Seas Analysis
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Message-ID: <20220113042413.5C9761C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Thu, 13 Jan 2022 04:24:13 +0000
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952 
FZPN01 KWBC 130424
HSFEP1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC 
0430 UTC THU JAN 13 2022 

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). 

SECURITE 

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 
TO 50N 160E 

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC JAN 13. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JAN 14. 
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JAN 15. 

.WARNINGS. 

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING... 
.LOW 48N158W 958 MB MOVING NE 20 KT WITH A FRONT FROM 50N150W TO 
44N150W TO 36N154W TO 30N162W. BETWEEN 60 NM AND 180 NM S AND SE 
QUADRANTS WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 22 TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
300 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 180 NM E OF THE FRONT N OF 36N 
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 25 FT. ALSO WITHIN 540 NM NE...720 
NM SE...480 NM SW...AND 420 NM NW QUADRANTS...AND WITHIN 300 NM 
E OF THE FRONT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 20 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N154W 970 MB. WITHIN 120 NM N AND NE OF 
A LINE FROM 60N148W TO 57N138W WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 720 NM E AND NE 
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 28 FT...HIGHEST E AND SE 
OF CENTER.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW INLAND 61N160W 999 MB WITH CONDITIONS 
DESCRIBED BELOW WITH LOW 54N141W.

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 36N167E 982 MB MOVING E 30 KT. WITHIN 150 NM W AND SW 
QUADRANTS AND 180 NM E OF A FRONT FROM 40N165E TO LOW TO 30N166E 
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 30N TO 40N W 
OF 174E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 38N173E 974 MB. WITHIN 120 NM S AND SW 
QUADRANTS WINDS 50 TO 70 KT. SEAS 14 TO 28 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 37N178W 982 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF A 
LINE FROM 38N176E TO 40N177W TO 34N163W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 
11 TO 20 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 39N160W 988 MB. WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 30N TO 43N 
BETWEEN 146W AND 166W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 22 FT. 

...STORM WARNING... 
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 46N134W 996 MB MOVING 15 KT AND 
SECOND CENTER 43N132W 1001 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 120 NM W 
OF A LINE FROM 47N135W TO 41N131W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 
19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM NE AND 480 NM SE QUADRANTS...AND 
FROM 38N TO 50N BETWEEN 134W AND 138W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 
TO 16 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMBINED LOW 48N127W 1020 MB. FROM 40N TO 52N 
E OF 133W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. FROM 41N TO 46N E OF 140W 
WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. 

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 42N167W 989 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. BETWEEN 120 NM AND 480 NM 
SW QUADRANT WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE 600 
NM SE AND 660 NM W AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 
TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N154W 982 MB. WITHIN 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 780 NM 
E...660 NM S...360 NM W AND 240 NM N QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 
KT. SEAS 12 TO 21 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 54N141W 981 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SE AND 180 
NM SW QUADRANTS...AND 60 NM E OF A LINE FROM 50N129W TO 55N132W 
WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM NE 
AND 540 NM SE QUADRANTS AND FROM 46N TO 58N BETWEEN 141W AND 
147W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 22 FT.

...GALE WARNING... 
.LOW 50N173W 985 MB MOVING SE 20 KT. WITHIN 540 NM W AND SW 
QUADRANTS AND W OF A LINE FROM 54N175W TO 62N166W WINDS 25 TO 35 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. N OF 55N W OF 171W WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 55N W OF 179W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT. 

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 43N161E 984 MB MOVING NW 15 KT. WITHIN 180 NM E AND NE OF A 
FRONT FROM 40N165E TO LOW TO 45N160E WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 
TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF A LINE FROM 40N172E TO 52N164E WINDS 25 
TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DESCRIBED BELOW 
WITH LOW 42N161E. 

...GALE WARNING... 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N161E 980 MB. FROM 30N TO 45N W OF 168E 
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N169E 976 MB. WITHIN 120 NM S AND SW 
QUADRANTS AND FROM 38N TO 47N BETWEEN 176E AND 179W WINDS 35 TO 
45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 660 NM N AND E...900 
NM S...AND 360 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 20 
FT. 

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING... 
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N W OF 167W. ELSEWHERE 
LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N W OF 165W. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N W OF 
167W. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE 
FROM 58N161W TO 54N176W TO 55N172E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE 
FROM 57N166W TO 58N178E. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING 
SPRAY N OF A LINE FROM 57N159W TO 53N177W TO 54N170E.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CALIFORNIA COAST FROM 36N 
TO 39N WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 34N TO 41N BETWEEN 124W AND 127W WINDS TO 
25 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. 

.SEMISOPOCHNOI VOLCANO AT POSITION 51.6N 179.4E LOCATED 140 
NAUTICAL MILES W OF ADAK ISLAND IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING LOW 
LEVEL ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY. GIVEN THE RECENT HISTORY OF ERUPTIVE 
ACTIVITY AT THE VOLCANO...ADDITIONAL EMISSIONS MAY OCCUR AT ANY 
TIME. MARINERS ENCOUNTERING VOLCANIC ASH OR FLOATING VOLCANIC 
DEBRIS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THE OBSERVATION TO THE OCEAN 
PREDICTION CENTER BY CALLING 301 683 1520. 

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 45N TO 51N E 
OF 132W...AND FROM 44N TO 48N W OF 166E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 48N TO 53N BETWEEN 137W AND 
141W AND FROM 48N TO 51N W OF 171E.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 46N TO 51N BETWEEN W OF 180W. 

.HIGH 37N126W 1025 MB MOVING S 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.HIGH 35N139W 1025 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 38N131W 1029 MB. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 39N131W 1029 MB.

.HIGH 54N137W 1013 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED INLAND.  

.FORECASTER CLARK. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU JAN 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JAN 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JAN 15.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N135W TO 27N140W. WITHIN 
17N118W TO 08N128W TO 05N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N116W TO 17N118W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR
30N140W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. WITHIN 21N129W TO 15N135W TO
06N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N128W TO 21N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN W TO NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N135W TO 06N137W TO 04N140W TO 
30N140W TO 30N123W TO 17N135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN W TO NW SWELL.

.WITHIN 19N105W TO 19N106W TO 20N106W TO 21N106W TO 19N105W... 
INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 10N86W TO 10N87W TO 10N88W TO 12N87W TO 11N86W TO
10N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.WITHIN 14N95W TO 15N96W TO 16N96W TO 16N95W TO 16N93W TO
14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N93W TO 06N98W TO 
07N106W TO 13N108W TO 14N95W TO 10N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 14N95W TO 15N96W O 16N96W TO 
16N94W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. WITHIN 08N104W TO 07N107W TO 
08N115W TO 12N119W TO 17N113W TO 08N104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL.

.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 26N110W TO 25N110W TO 26N111W TO
27N111W TO 27N110W TO 26N110W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA...
NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 23N109W TO 23N111W TO 24N109W TO 
24N108W TO 23N109W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA...NW WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0100 UTC THU JAN 13...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
TROUGH FROM 10N75W TO 04N82W. ITCZ FROM 04N82W TO 06N103W TO 
09N118W THEN RESUMES FROM 06N134W TO 04N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT 
CONVECTION.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.


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