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Subject: Indian-N:      Tropical Weather Outlook 
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WTIN20 DEMS 130603

     TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC SPECIAL TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 13.01.2022



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THEBAY OF BENGAL
OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT
0600 UTC OF 13.01.2022 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 13.01.2022.



BAY OF BENGAL:



YESTERDAY'S CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL &
NEIGHBOURHOOD PERSISTED OVER THE SAME REGION WITH VERTICAL
EXTENSION UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY,THE
13TH JANUARY, 2021.



SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO
VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST AND ADJOINING SOUTHWEST
BAY OF BENGAL. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED
ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHERN PARTS OF
NORTH BAY OF BENGAL, CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AND GULF OF MARTABAN.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS   24-48 HOURS   48-72 HOURS    72-96 HOURS    96-120 HOURS

  NIL        NIL             NIL            NIL        NIL





ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF EXTREME SOUTH ARABIAN SEA.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS LAY OVER REST OF ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:



24 HOURS    24-48 HOURS   48-72 HOURS    72-96 HOURS    96-120 HOURS

   NIL         NIL           NIL             NIL            NIL







REMARKS:

                     NIL=

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