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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: Roughly Along Long. 83oe To The North Of Lat. 26on Has Moved 
Message-ID: <20220113093406.E29EF1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Thu, 13 Jan 2022 09:34:06 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 130300

IWB (MORNING) DATED 13-01-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:-

 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST
RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD NOW LIES OVER HARYANA & NEIGHBOURHOOD
AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. HOWEVER, THE TROUGH ALOFT IN UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC LEVELS WITH ITS AXIS AT 7.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 83OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 26ON HAS MOVED
EAST-NORTHEASTWARDS.  A FEEBLE WESTERN DISTURBANCE SEEN AS A
TROUGH IN UPPER TROPOSPHERIC LEVELS WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE
MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 72OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 32ON.
THE TROUGH FROM SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA TO SOUTH CHHATTISGARH, NOW
RUNS FROM NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA TO NORTH INTERIOR ODISHA
AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.  THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
OVER SOUTH KONKAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
PERSISTS.  THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF
BENGAL & NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
PERSISTS. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH TAMIL NADU &
NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.  A FRESH
WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN HIMALAYAN REGION
FROM 16TH JANUARY 2022.  THE INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
OVER NORTHWEST UTTAR PRADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.

RAINFALL FORECAST:-


RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MOST PLACES OVER ODISHA; AT MANY PLACES
OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM AND
TELANGANA; AT A FEW PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, GANGETIC
WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM AND CHHATTISGARH AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA,
SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, JHARKHAND, JAMMU & KASHMIR,
GLADAKH, GILGIT-BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD, MARATHAWADA, VIDARBHA,
RAYALASEEMA, TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, INTERIOR KARNATAKA
AND KERALA & MAHE (.)


DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)


WEATHER WARNINGS:-


13 JANUARY (DAY 1):

 HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER ODISHA, NORTH
COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM AND TELANGANA. THUNDERSTORM
ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY
OVER ODISHA, CHHATTISGARH, TELANGANA AND WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED
PLACES OVER COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM.  COLD WAVE CONDITIONS
IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER NORTHEAST RAJASTHAN AND WEST
MADHYA PRADESH.  COLD DAY CONDITIONS IN SOME PARTS VERY
LIKELY OVER WEST MADHYA PRADESH AND IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER
GUJARAT STATE, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, PUNJAB, HARYANA, CHANDIGARH,
NORTH RAJASTHAN AND UTTAR PRADESH.  DENSE TO VERY DENSE FOG IN SOME
PARTS VERY LIKELY OVER PUNJAB, EAST UTTAR PRADESH,  NORTH RAJASTHAN
AND IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER HARYANA, WEST UTTAR PRADESH AND DENSE
FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, LADAKH,
GILGIT-BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD, PLAINS OF HIMACHAL PRADESH,
UTTARAKHAND, NORTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH, BIHAR, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST
BENGAL & SIKKIM, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM &
TRIPURA.

14 JANUARY (DAY 2):

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY
LIKELY OVER CHHATTISGARH, ODISHA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM,
TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND TELANGANA.  COLD WAVE
CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER NORTHEAST
RAJASTHAN, WEST UTTAR PRADESH AND WEST MADHYA PRADESH.  COLD DAY
CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER GUJARAT STATE, WEST
MADHYA PRADESH, PUNJAB, HARYANA, CHANDIGARH, NORTH RAJASTHAN AND
UTTAR PRADESH.  DENSE TO VERY DENSE FOG IN SOME PARTS VERY
LIKELY OVER PUNJAB, EAST UTTAR PRADESH, NORTH RAJASTHAN AND IN
ISOLATED POCKETS OVER WEST UTTAR PRADESH AND DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED
POCKETS OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, LADAKH, GILGIT-BALTISTAN &
MUZAFFARABAD, PLAINS OF HIMACHAL PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, HARYANA,
NORTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH, BIHAR, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL &
SIKKIM, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM &
TRIPURA.=

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