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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone 05p (cody) Warning Nr 020// 
Message-ID: <20220113125039.AEC341C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Thu, 13 Jan 2022 12:50:39 +0000
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WTPS31 PGTW 131500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (CODY) WARNING NR 020//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (CODY) WARNING NR 020
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   131200Z --- NEAR 26.9S 177.0E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   SUBTROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 26.9S 177.0E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   140000Z --- 27.8S 177.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   SUBTROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
131500Z POSITION NEAR 27.1S 177.1E.
13JAN22. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (CODY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 534
NM SOUTH OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS A RAGGED, DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) WITH SHEARED CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTH. THE INITIAL
POSITION IS ASSESSED WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE AN
EXTRAPOLATION OF A 130939Z ASCAT-B PASS, PLACED IN THE SOUTHEAST
PORTION OF THE ELONGATED CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
LIKEWISE BASED ON THE SAME SCATTEROMETER PASS, WHICH SHOWED AN
EXTENSIVE SWATH OF 50 KNOT WINDS EXTENDING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. AUTOMATED AND SUBJECTIVE PHASE
CLASSIFICATION ANALYSES CONFIRM THAT TC 05P HAS TRANSITIONED TO A
STORM FORCE SUBTROPICAL LOW. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK
SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WHILE THE FORECAST ONLY EXTENDS TO 12
HOURS, THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE SOUTHWARD AS A STRONG GALE TO STORM-
FORCE SUBTROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH AN EXPANSIVE GALE-FORCE
WIND FIELD. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
131200Z IS 22 FEET.//
NNNN


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