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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: Now Runs Roughly Along Long. 75oe To The North Of Lat. 32on. 
Message-ID: <20220114102511.BE2FD1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Fri, 14 Jan 2022 10:25:11 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 140300
IWB (MORNING) DATED 14-01-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:-

THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER HARYANA &
NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

THE FEEBLE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN UPPER TROPOSPHERIC
LEVELS WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 75OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 32ON.

THE TROUGH FROM NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA TO NORTH INTERIOR ODISHA AT
0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH KONKAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 1.5 KM
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL & NEIGHBOURHOOD
NOW LIES OVER SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING SOUTHEAST
BAY OF BENGAL AND EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH TAMIL NADU & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 0.9
KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN HIMALAYAN REGION
FROM 16TH AND ANOTHER WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY
TO EFFECT NORTHWEST INDIA FROM 18TH JANUARY 2022.

RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MOST PLACES OVER COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH &
YANAM; AT MANY PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL AND ODISHA; AT A FEW
PLACES OVER VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, TELANGANA AND RAYALASEEMA AND AT
ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ARUNACHAL PRADESH,
ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA,
SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, JHARKHAND, MARATHWADA, TAMILNADU,
PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA & MAHE (.)

DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)


WEATHER WARNINGS:-

14 JANUARY (DAY 1):

HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER COASTAL ANDHRA
PRADESH & YANAM.

THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY
LIKELY OVER CHHATTISGARH, ODISHA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM,
RAYALASEEMA, VIDARBHA, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL AND TELANGANA.

COLD WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER WEST UTTAR
PRADESH.

COLD DAY TO SEVERE COLD DAY CONDITIONS IN SOME POCKETS VERY LIKELY
OVER PUNJAB AND IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI,
RAJASTHAN AND WEST UTTAR PRADESH AND COLD DAY
CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER EAST UTTAR PRADESH AND WEST
MADHYA PRADESH.

DENSE TO VERY DENSE FOG IN SOME PARTS VERY LIKELY OVER UTTAR PRADESH
AND IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI, WEST
RAJASTHAN AND DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER
JAMMU & KASHMIR, LADAKH, GILGIT-BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD, PLAINS OF
HIMACHAL PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND,  PUNJAB, EAST RAJASTHAN, NORTHWEST
MADHYA PRADESH, BIHAR, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL &
SIKKIM, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA.

15 JANUARY (DAY 2): THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL AT
ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM
AND WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH &
YANAM.

COLD WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER WEST UTTAR
PRADESH.

COLD DAY TO SEVERE COLD DAY CONDITIONS IN SOME POCKETS VERY LIKELY
OVER PUNJAB AND IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI,
RAJASTHAN AND WEST UTTAR PRADESH AND COLD DAY
CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER EAST UTTAR PRADESH.

DENSE TO VERY DENSE FOG IN SOME PARTS VERY LIKELY OVER UTTAR PRADESH
AND IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI AND DENSE
FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, LADAKH,
GILGIT-BALTISTAN &
MUZAFFARABAD, PLAINS OF HIMACHAL PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB,
RAJASTHAN, NORTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH, BIHAR, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL
& SIKKIM, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA.=

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