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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: Levels With Its Axis At 5.8 Km Above Mean Sea Level  Roughly Along 
Message-ID: <20220114152359.4EFE51C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Fri, 14 Jan 2022 15:23:59 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 141520

IWB (EVENING) DATED 14-01-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:-

 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER HARYANA &
NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE FEEBLE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN UPPER TROPOSPHERIC
LEVELS WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL  ROUGHLY ALONG
LONG. 75OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 32ON PERSISTS.

 THE TROUGH FROM NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA TO NORTH INTERIOR ODISHA AT
0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH KONKAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 1.5 KM
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF
BENGAL AND EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH TAMIL NADU & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT
0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN HIMALAYAN
REGION FROM 16TH AND ANOTHER WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO EFFECT
NORTHWEST INDIA FROM 18TH JANUARY 2022.

RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MOST PLACES OVER COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH &
YANAM; AT MANY PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL AND ODISHA; AT A FEW
PLACES OVER VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, TELANGANA AND RAYALASEEMA AND AT
ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ARUNACHAL PRADESH,
ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA,
SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, JHARKHAND, MARATHWADA, TAMILNADU,
PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA & MAHE (.)

DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)


WEATHER WARNINGS:-

14 JANUARY (DAY 1): HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY
OVER COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM.

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY
LIKELY OVER EAST MADHYA PRADESH, CHHATTISGARH, ODISHA, COASTAL ANDHRA
PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, VIDARBHA, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL AND
TELANGANA.

 COLD WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER WEST UTTAR
PRADESH.

 COLD DAY TO SEVERE COLD DAY CONDITIONS IN SOME POCKETS VERY LIKELY
OVER PUNJAB AND IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI,
RAJASTHAN AND WEST UTTAR PRADESH AND COLD DAY CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED
POCKETS OVER EAST UTTAR PRADESH AND WEST MADHYA PRADESH.

 DENSE TO VERY DENSE FOG IN SOME PARTS VERY LIKELY OVER UTTAR PRADESH
AND IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI, WEST
RAJASTHAN AND DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR,
LADAKH, GILGIT-BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD, PLAINS OF HIMACHAL PRADESH,
UTTARAKHAND,  PUNJAB, EAST RAJASTHAN, NORTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH,
BIHAR, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND
NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA.

15 JANUARY (DAY 2):   THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL
AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL &
SIKKIM AND WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER COASTAL ANDHRA
PRADESH & YANAM.

 COLD WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER WEST UTTAR
PRADESH.

 COLD DAY TO SEVERE COLD DAY CONDITIONS IN SOME POCKETS VERY LIKELY
OVER PUNJAB AND IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI,
RAJASTHAN AND WEST UTTAR PRADESH AND COLD DAY CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED
POCKETS OVER EAST UTTAR PRADESH.

 DENSE TO VERY DENSE FOG IN SOME PARTS VERY LIKELY OVER UTTAR PRADESH
AND IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI AND DENSE
FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, LADAKH,
GILGIT-BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD, PLAINS OF HIMACHAL PRADESH,
UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB, RAJASTHAN, NORTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH, BIHAR,
SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND,
MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA.=

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