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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: North Pacific: High Seas Analysis
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
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Date: Fri, 14 Jan 2022 16:28:17 +0000
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914 
FZPN01 KWBC 141628
HSFEP1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC 
1630 UTC FRI JAN 14 2022 

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). 

SECURITE 

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 
TO 50N 160E 

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JAN 14. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JAN 15. 
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JAN 16. 

.WARNINGS. 

...STORM WARNING... 
.LOW 38N165W 984 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. FROM 32N TO 38N BETWEEN 
166W AND 171W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN  540 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM N AND 360 NM W QUADRANTS 
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 24 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N153W 993 MB. WITHIN 540 NM SE AND 300 
NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 20 FT...HIGHEST 
NEAR 35N158W. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 46N147W 1003 MB 
AND A NEW SECOND CENTER 52N136W 1007 MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF THE 
COAST FROM 50N TO 54N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 420 NM S AND 600 NM E 
QUADRANTS OF MAIN LOW AND WITHIN 420 NM S AND 120 NM N 
SEMICIRCLES OF SECOND LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. 

...STORM WARNING... 
.LOW 51N144W 978 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN 480 NM S AND 180 NM 
SE QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 28 FT...HIGHEST NEAR 
44N149W. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 360 NM NE AND 
120 NM NW AND W QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 21 FT... 
HIGHEST S AND SW OF LOW.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N136W 1002 MB. WITHIN 300 NM S AND SE 
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
360 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 20 
FT...HIGHEST S OF LOW. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED INLAND AND ASSOCIATED 
CONDITIONS AS DESCRIBED WITH COMPLEX LOW ABOVE.

...STORM WARNING... 
.LOW 40N164E 983 MB MOVING NE 25 KT AND INTENSIFYING. WITHIN 600 
NM S AND 240 NM E QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N174E 966 MB. BETWEEN 120 NM AND 300 NM 
NW AND N QUADRANTS AND 240 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 
14 TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM OF LOW AND 1020 NM S 
QUADRANT AND WITHIN 240 NM NE AND E OF A FRONT FROM 49N177E TO 
42N177W TO 34N178W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 22 FT...HIGHEST 
S OF LOW AND S OF 37N W OF 170E. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N174E 963 MB. FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 
53N174E TO 53N176W TO 50N170W TO 35N164W. WITHIN 480 NM W AND NW 
QUADRANTS AND WITHIN 180 NM N OF FRONT W OF 179W WINDS 35 TO 50 
KT. SEAS 15 TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 780 NM SW AND NW 
SEMICIRCLES...FROM 32N TO 40N W OF 168E AND WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 
E OF FRONT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 24 FT...HIGHEST SW OF 
LOW AND S OF 40N W OF 170E.

...GALE WARNING... 
.LOW 59N153W 985 MB MOVING NW 15 KT. WITHIN 300 NM E QUADRANT 
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM S 
AND 420 NM E QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW INLAND 61N163W 1001 MB. CONDITIONS 
DESCRIBED LOW 59N148W IN SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

...GALE WARNING... 
.LOW 48N161E 982 MB MOVING SW 20 KT. WITHIN 360 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA. CONDITIONS DESCRIBED ABOVE WITH 
LOW 47N174E. 

...GALE WARNING... 
.LOW 43N169E 982 MB MOVING NW 15 KT. EXCEPT WHERE NOTED ABOVE 
WITH LOW 40N164E...WITHIN 540 NM S...300 NM E AND 120 NM NE 
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 20 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 47N174E 
DESCRIBED ABOVE. 

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING... 
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N W OF 165W. ELSEWHERE 
LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE FROM 57N160W TO 
53N173W TO 57N175E. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE 
FROM 57N167W TO 59N178W. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING 
SPRAY N OF A LINE FROM 56N160W TO 55N172W TO 58N178E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N W OF 
167W. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE 
FROM 57N165W TO 56N175E.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.LOW 56N168W 992 MB MOVING E 10 KT. WITHIN 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLE 
AND N OF 56N AND W OF 175W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 56N161W 1004 MB. WITHIN 240 NM S AND 180 
NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

.LOW 57N177W 987 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 300 NM S AND 240 NM 
SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N148W 1001 MB. WITHIN 300 NM S AND SW 
QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 60N148W 1008 MB. N OF 56N BETWEEN 148W AND 
155W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.FROM 33N TO 41N BETWEEN 121W AND 128W AREA OF N WINDS TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 180 NM E OF A LINE FROM 44N126W TO 
33N131W AREA OF N WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED. 

.SEMISOPOCHNOI VOLCANO AT POSITION 51.6N 179.4E LOCATED 140 
NAUTICAL MILES W OF ADAK ISLAND IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING 
ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY. VOLCANIC ASH HAS BEEN DETECTED ON SATELLITE 
IMAGERY AND ON A NEARBY WEB CAM. ASHFALL IS POSSIBLE GENERALLY 
ACROSS THE WATERS TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF THE VOLCANO AS 
WINDS WILL REMAIN 10 KT OR LESS OUT OF THE N TO NE. MARINERS 
ENCOUNTERING VOLCANIC ASH OR FLOATING VOLCANIC DEBRIS ARE 
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THE OBSERVATION TO THE OCEAN PREDICTION 
CENTER BY CALLING 301 683 1520. 

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 53N TO 56N 
BETWEEN 138W AND 143W AND FROM 46N TO 51N W OF 168E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 240 NM E OF A LINE FROM 
42N142W TO 46N146W...WITHIN 180 NM N AND NW OF A LINE FROM 
48N175W TO 49N177E TO 45N170E AND FROM 44N TO 46N W OF 173E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE 
FROM 53N134W TO 49N129W TO 42N141W TO 47N146W TO 
53N134W...WITHIN 240 NM N OF A LINE FROM 49N166W TO 
53N175W...FROM 53N TO 57N W OF 175W AND FROM 46N TO 53N BETWEEN 
173E AND 163E.

.HIGH 41N130W 1030 MB MOVING SW 5 KT NEXT 24 HOURS THEN WILL 
MOVE BACK NE. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 39N131W 1028 MB. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 42N130W 1024 MB. 

.HIGH 45N17W 1008 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 49N162W 1016 MB. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 53N15W 1019 MB. 

.FORECASTER BANCROFT. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI JAN 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JAN 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN JAN 16.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 15N94W TO 14N95W TO 14N96W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO 
15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W... 
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 
15N95W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 15N95W TO 14N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 15N139W TO 15N140W TO 17N140W TO 17N139.5W TO 16N139.5W 
TO 15N139W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 12 FT IN NW 
SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N128W TO 06N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N125W
TO 21N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN W TO NW 
SWELL. WITHIN 10N107W TO 06N125W TO 10N127W TO 13N118W TO 21N111W
TO 10N107W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N134W TO 04N137W TO 04N140W TO 
30N140W TO 30N121W TO 17N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN NW SWELL. WITHIN 01N111W TO 00N111W TO 00N113W TO 02N114W 
TO 03N113W TO 01N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 25N133W TO 05N140W TO 22N140W TO 
30N123W TO 26N126W TO 25N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
DECAYING NW SWELL. WITHIN 04N122W TO 04N123W TO 04N124W TO 
05N124W TO 05N122W TO 04N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO  8 FT 
IN DECAYING NW SWELL. 

.WITHIN 10N86W TO 10N88W TO 11N87W TO 11N86W TO 10N86W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1515 UTC FRI JAN 14...

.TROUGH FROM 24N121W TO 15N122W...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN
60 NM OF TROUGH FROM 16N TO 23N.

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 13N113W TO 
13N117W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N74W TO 08N86W TO 07N93W.
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 07N93W TO 07N103W TO 07N110W.  ANOTHER ITCZ 
EXTENDS FROM 12N109W TO 10N119W TO 10N129W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
WITHIN 60 NM OF ITCZ BETWEEN 102W AND 105W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.


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