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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: North Pacific: High Seas Analysis
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Message-ID: <20220114231054.77C031C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Fri, 14 Jan 2022 23:10:54 +0000
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979 
FZPN01 KWBC 142310 CCA
HSFEP1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC 
2230 UTC FRI JAN 14 2022 

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). 

SECURITE 

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 
TO 50N 160E 

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC JAN 14. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JAN 15. 
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JAN 16. 

.WARNINGS. 

...STORM WARNING... 
.LOW 39N161W 986 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. FROM 33N TO 40 BETWEEN 162W 
AND 167W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
540 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM N AND 360 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 
25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 23 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N151W 997 MB. WITHIN 540 NM SE AND 300 
NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 20 FT...HIGHEST 
NEAR 36N156W. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 49N142W 1005 MB 
AND A SECOND CENTER 54N134W 1002 MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF THE COAST 
FROM 50N TO 54N WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 360 NM OF MAIN CENTER AND WITHIN 420 NM S AND SE AND 120 
NM N QUADRANTS OF SECOND LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 

...STORM WARNING... 
.LOW 52N142W 978 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN 300 NM S AND SE AND 
180 NM SW QUADRANTS AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE COAST FROM 49N TO 
55N WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 27 FT...HIGHEST NEAR 50N140W. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 540 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 360 NM NE AND 180 NM 
NW AND W QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 22 FT... HIGHEST 
S OF LOW. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW INLAND NEAR 60N128W 1005 MB. FROM 50N TO 
58N E OF 140W AREA OF SW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT WITH 
SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW WELL INLAND AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS AS 
DESCRIBED WITH COMPLEX LOW ABOVE. 

...STORM WARNING... 
.LOW 41N167E 981 MB MOVING NE 25 KT THEN TURNING MORE N IN 12 
HOURS WHILE INTENSIFYING AND THEN BECOMING NEARLY STATIONARY BY 
24 HOURS. FROM 30N TO 41N W OF 171E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 
TO 23 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N173E 965 MB. BETWEEN 60 NM AND 360 NM N 
AND NW QUADRANTS AND WITHIN 300 NM W QUADRANT WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. 
SEAS 14 TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 540 NM OF LOW AND FROM 32N TO 
41N W OF 175E AND WIHIN 300 NM NE AND E OF A FRONT FROM 49N178E 
TO 42N173W TO 36N172W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 24 FT... 
HIGHEST S OF LOW AND S OF 40N W OF 171E. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N172E 966 MB. FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 
54N176E TO 53N171W TO 40N162W TO 30N165W. BETWEEN 180 NM AND 480 
NM W AND NW QUADRANTS AND FROM 54N TO 58N W OF 179W WINDS 35 TO 
50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 900 NM N...660 NM W 
AND 360 NM S AND SE QUADRANTS...FROM 30N TO 40N W OF 173E...AND 
WITHIN 240 NM NE AND E OF FRONT N OF 50N WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 
12 TO 23 FT...EXCEPT E OF 175W SEAS 8 TO 18 FT.

...GALE WARNING... 
.LOW W OF AREA 49N158E 982 MB MOVING SW 20 KT. WINDS 30 TO 45 
KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA. CONDITIONS DESCRIBED ABOVE WITH 
LOW 48N173E ABOVE. 

...GALE WARNING... 
.LOW 44N170E 980 MB MOVING NW 15 KT. EXCEPT WHERE NOTED ABOVE 
WITH LOW 41N167E...WITHIN 540 NM S QUADRANT AND 360 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 48N173E 
DESCRIBED ABOVE. 

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING... 
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N W OF 165W. ELSEWHERE 
LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE FROM 57N160W TO 
53N173W TO 57N175E. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE 
FROM 57N167W TO 59N178W. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING 
SPRAY N OF A LINE FROM 56N160W TO 55N172W TO 58N178E. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N W OF 
167W. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE 
FROM 57N165W TO 56N175E. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.LOW 59N153W 993 MB MOVING NW 10 KT. WITHIN 300 NM E QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NNM S 
AND SE QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW INLAND 61N160W 1007 MB...WITH NEW LOW 
59N148W 1001 MB. WITHIN 300 NM S AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 60N147W 1008 MB. N OF 56N BETWEEN 148W AND 
155W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.LOW 55N168W 996 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. WITHIN 300 NM SW SEMICIRCLE 
AND N OF 54N AND W OF 173W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N159W 1007 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANT 
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS AS DESCRIBED 
WITH LOW 60N147W ABOVE. 

.FROM 33N TO 41N BETWEEN 122W AND 129W AREA OF N WINDS TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 120 NM E OF A LINE FROM 43N126W TO 
33N131W AREA OF N WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 120 NM E OF A LINE FROM 44N126W TO 
39N130W AREA OF N WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 33N124W 1019 MB. WITHIN 180 NM N AND 
NE QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 31N127W 1016 MB. WITHIN 360 NM W AND NW 
QUADRANTS WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.SEMISOPOCHNOI VOLCANO AT POSITION 51.6N 179.4E LOCATED 140 
NAUTICAL MILES W OF ADAK ISLAND REMAINS IN A STATE OF UNREST. 
CURRENTLY NO ASH IS IDENTIFIABLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT WAS  
OBSERVED EARLIER TODAY. LOW LEVEL ASH EMISSIONS ARE POSSIBLE.
MARINERS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION. IF YOU ENCOUNER VOLCANIC ASH 
OR FLOATING VOLCANIC DEBRIS YOU ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THE 
OBSERVATION TO THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER BY CALLING 301 683 
1520. 

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 57N TO 61N 
BETWEEN 163W AND 170W AND FROM 48N TO 52N W OF 169E. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 49N BETWEEN 137W AND 
150W AND WITHIN 240 NM N AND NW OF A LINE FROM 49N173W TO 
50N178E TO 45N171E AND ALSO FROM 44N TO 46N W OF 173E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE 
FROM 53N134W TO 49N129W TO 42N141W TO 47N146W TO 
53N134W...WITHIN 240 NM N OF A LINE FROM 49N166W TO 
53N175W...FROM 53N TO 57N W OF 175W AND FROM 46N TO 53N BETWEEN 
173E AND 163E. 

.HIGH 40N130W 1031 MB DRIFTING NW. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 41N132W 1028 MB. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 42N130W 1023 MB. 

.HIGH 48N171W 1008 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 51N160W 1016 MB. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 54N154W 1017 MB. 

.FORECASTER BANCROFT. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI JAN 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT JAN 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JAN 16.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
..36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W... 
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.39 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W... 
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8  TO 
10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 
14N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 
15N95W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 15N95W TO 14N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 
FROM 16N95W TO 14N95.5W TO 13N96W N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 13N96W TO  12N98W NE 
TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 21N127W TO 14N133W TO 06N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N123W TO 
21N127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN W TO NW SWELL. 
WITHIN 10N108W TO 04N105W TO 01N114W TO 07N120W TO 13N119W TO 
10N108W .WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 19N133W TO 01N140W TO 17N140W TO 
30N140W TO 30N123W TO 19N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN NW SWELL. WITHIN 07N109W TO 04N106W TO 01N109W TO 02N117W 
TO 05N114W TO 07N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN DECAYING
NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N133W TO 08N134W TO 03N140W TO 
27N140W TO 21N129W TO 15N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT 
IN DECAYING NW SWELL. 

.WITHIN 10N86W TO 10N88W TO 11N87W TO 11N86W TO 10N86W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 28N112W TO 27N111W 
TO 24N109W TO 25.5N111W TO 27N111.5W TO 28N112W NW WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2130 UTC FRI JAN 14...

.TROUGH FROM 24N121W TO 16N122W....SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 
NM E OF TROUGH FROM 17N TO 23N.

.SCATTERED MODERATE  N OF 25N BETWEEN 119W AND 125W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N75W TO 08N85W TO 06N95W.  ITCZ EXTENDS 
FROM 06N95W TO  08N108W TO 10N120W TO 09N134W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM S OF ITCZ BETWEEN 102W AND 105W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.


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