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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: North Pacific: High Seas Analysis
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Message-ID: <20220115101642.058FB1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Sat, 15 Jan 2022 10:16:41 +0000
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013 
FZPN01 KWBC 151016
HSFEP1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1030 UTC SAT JAN 15 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 
TO 50N 160E

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JAN 15. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JAN 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JAN 17.

.WARNINGS.

...STORM  WARNING...
.LOW 46N170E 972 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. WITHIN 480 NM NW...600 NM
NE...900 NM SE AND 1080 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS
12 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 780 NM NE...1260 NM SE AND 1140 NM
SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N175E 962 MB. BETWEEN 420 NM AND 660 NM
NE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 480 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS
14 TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 780 NM NE...1440 NM SE AND 1260 NM
SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 26 FT. ALSO WITHIN
1080 NM NE AND 1680 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N173E 968 MB. WITHIN 480 NM NW...1020 NM
NE...780 NM SE AND 1200 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS
13 TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 1140 NM NE AND 1800 NM SE QUADRANTS
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 22 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 56N136W 992 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 420 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 540 NM S
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 22 FT. ALSO WITHIN 600
NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 480 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO
16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DESCRIBED WITH
LOW 47N147W BELOW.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 40N155W 992 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 660 NM OF LOW CENTER
EXCEPT 420 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 26 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 30N TO 50N BETWEEN 141W AND 164W WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N147W 1003 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NW...780 NM
NE...840 NM SE AND 720 NM SW QUARANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO
14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N137W 1008 MB. WITHIN 480 NM OF LOW
CENTER EXCEPT 240 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14
FT.

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...
.MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE FROM 58N171W TO 60N178W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE
FROM  58N169W TO 59N178W.
..48 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE
FROM 58N170W TO 57N175E.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 30N TO 42N BETWEEN 119W AND 129W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM  30N TO 41N BETWEEN 119W AND 131W WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

.LOW 60N164W 999 MB  NEARLY STATIONARY. WITHIN 420 NM SW AND 240
NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS  TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

.SEMISOPOCHNOI VOLCANO AT POSITION 51.6N 179.4E LOCATED 140 
NAUTICAL MILES W OF ADAK ISLAND REMAINS IN A STATE OF UNREST. 
CURRENTLY NO ASH IS IDENTIFIABLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT WAS  
OBSERVED EARLIER TODAY. LOW LEVEL ASH EMISSIONS ARE POSSIBLE.
MARINERS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION. IF YOU ENCOUNTER VOLCANIC ASH 
OR FLOATING VOLCANIC DEBRIS YOU ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THE 
OBSERVATION TO THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER BY CALLING 301 683 
1520.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 46N TO 51N W OF
178E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 53N BETWEEN 131W AND 148W
AND FROM 49N TO 55N BETWEEN 167W AND 178E AND FROM 42N TO 54N
BETWEEN 178E AND 165E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 53N BETWEEN 128W AND 141W
AND FROM 54N TO 61N W OF 166W AND FROM 42N TO 50N W OF 169W.

.HIGH 38N131W 1030 MB MOVING NE 25 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 44N127W 1028 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.HIGH 46N165W 1014 MB MOVING NE 25 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 53N154W 1020 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 55N149W 1016 MB.

.FORECASTER HOLLEY. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT JAN 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JAN 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON JAN 17.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 15N NW TO N WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.27 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 15N BETWEEN 94.5W AND
95W N WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N94W 
TO 15N96W TO 16N96W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO 14N94W N TO NE WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N94W TO 14N95W TO 13N96W TO 16N95W TO
14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N94W TO 
11N98W TO 14N99W TO 16N95W TO 14N93W TO 11N94W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 19N133W TO 07N134W TO 06N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N121W TO
19N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN W TO NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 00N137W TO 00N140W TO 17N139W TO 
23N140W TO 23N134W TO 00N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN W TO NW SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.18 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 25N110W TO 26N111W 
TO 27N112W TO 29N113W TO 28N112W TO 25N110W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 24N109W TO 23N109W 
TO 26N111W TO 27N112W TO 27N111W TO 24N109W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0840 UTC SAT JAN 15...

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 15 BETWEEN 97W AND 
101W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N74W TO 04N83W TO 06N90W TO 05N95W.
THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 05N95W TO 07.5N117W TO BEYOND 07.5N140W. 
NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION AT THIS TIME.


.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

$$


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