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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: North Pacific: High Seas Analysis
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
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Date: Sun, 16 Jan 2022 03:58:52 +0000
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023 
FZPN01 KWBC 160358
HSFEP1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0430 UTC SUN JAN 16 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 
TO 50N 160E

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC JAN 16. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JAN 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JAN 18.

.WARNINGS.

...STORM WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 48N175E 966 MB NEARLY 
STATIONARY WILL MOVE S AFTER 24 HOURS...AND A 
SECONDARY CENTER 49N174W 980 MB MOVING NW 15 KT. 
FRONT EXTENDS FROM 51N179W TO SECONDARY LOW TO 
41N170W TO 30N172W. WITHIN 360 NM N AND NW QUADRANTS
OF MAIN CENTER WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 28 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM E AND NE OF FRONT N OF 41N...
WITHIN 240 NM E AND NE OF FRONT S OF 41N...N OF 30N...
WITHIN 720 NM N AND NE...900 NM S AND SE...1140 NM 
SW...AND 600 NM NW QUADRANTS OF MAIN CENTER WINDS 
30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 26 FT...HIGHEST NW QUADRANT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMBINED LOW 48N173E 968 MB. NW 
OF A LINE FROM  48N168E TO 58N178W WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. 
SEAS 18 TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 30N...WITHIN 1020 NM
NE...1140 NM S AND SE...1080 NM SW...AND 600 NM NW 
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 30 FT...HIGHEST
NW QUADRANT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N173E 974 MB. W OF A LINE FROM 
52N170E TO 60N173W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 30 FT.
ELSEWHERE N OF 30N...WITHIN 1080 NM N AND NE...960 NM 
SE...600 NM SW...AND 660 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 
40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 26 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 44N151W 999 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. FROM 35N TO 53N 
BETWEEN 132W AND 156W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N144W 1006 MB. WITHIN 240 NM
NW SEMICIRCLE...AND WITHIN 480 NM SE AND 420 NM SW
QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N144W 1010 MB. WITHIN 240 NM
W AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.12 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 54N136W 1006 MB. WITHIN
180 NM NE AND 360 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N134W 1005 MB. WITHIN 300
NM S AND SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 47N TO 55N E OF 137W WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW MOVED INLAND WITH CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.

...GALE WARNING...
.36 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 41N178W 981 MB. N OF 
30N...WITHIN 180 NM E AND NE...1020 NM SE...960 NM W AND
SW...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS
12 TO 24 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 46N177W 974 MB. WITHIN 360
NM NE...540 NM SE...180 NM SW...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANTS
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 41N162W 989 MB. N OF
30N...WITHIN 780 NM E AND SE...AND 840 NM S AND SW
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER
37N161E 995 MB. N OF 30N...WITHIN 540 NM S AND SE...180
NM SW...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT.
SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NE OF A LINE FROM 
59N179W TO 57N168W. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE 
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 56N W OF 160W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 
N OF 58N W OF 161W. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING
SPRAY N OF 56N W OF 160W AND WITHIN THE COOK INLET.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW 60N147W 1004 MB MOVING SE 10 KT. WITHIN 180 NM SE AND
360 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N145W 1009 MB. WITHIN 180 NM E
AND SE...AND 120 NM S AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 33N125W 1016 MB MOVING
SW 10 KT WILL TURN E AFTER 24 HOURS. WITHIN 540 NM N AND NW
QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMBINED LOW 31N129W 1014 MB. WITHIN
360 NM OF LOW CENTER N OF 30N...WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 31N123W 1015 MB. WINDS LESS THAN
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.SEMISOPOCHNOI VOLCANO AT POSITION 51.6N 179.4E LOCATED 140
NAUTICAL MILES W OF ADAK ISLAND REMAINS IN A STATE OF UNREST AND
LOW LEVEL ASH EMISSIONS ARE POSSIBLE. MARINERS SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION. IF YOU ENCOUNTER VOLCANIC ASH OR FLOATING VOLCANIC
DEBRIS YOU ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THE OBSERVATION TO THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER BY CALLING 301 683 1520.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 45N TO 51N
BETWEEN 135W AND 150W AND FROM 43N TO 55N BETWEEN 164E AND 
173W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 46N TO 53N BETWEEN 128W AND
146W...N OF 54N W OF 167W...AND N OF 43N W OF 172E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG NW OF A LINE FROM 45N162E TO 
55N161W...AND WITHIN 180 NM OF 43N153W.

.HIGH 48N126W 1030 MB MOVING NE 15 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH INLAND.

.HIGH 40N133W 1027 MB MOVING SW 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 37N135W 1022 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 35N137W 1023 MB.

.HIGH 52N157W 1016 MB MOVING NE 15 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 54N151W 1017 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 57N144W 1020 MB.

.HIGH 33N158W 1016 MB MOVING NE 15 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 36N148W 1019 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH MERGED WITH HIGH 35N137W ABOVE.

.FORECASTER MILLS. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN JAN 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON JAN 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE JAN 18.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15.5N94.5W TO 15.5N95.5W TO 16N95.5W TO
16N94.5W TO 15.5N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.09 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94.5W TO 15N95W TO 16N95W TO 
16N94.5W TO 15N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N 
WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N94W TO 
14N95W TO 15N96W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO 14N94W N WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N95W TO 14N96W TO 
15N96W TO 16N95W TO 14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. N OF 
15N BETWEEN 94W AND 94.5W N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N96W TO 13N97W TO 15N96W TO 16N94W TO 14N94W 
TO 13N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 12N94W TO 12N97W TO 14N98W TO 16N96W TO 
15N94W TO 12N94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N TO NE 
SWELL. .33 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N95W TO 14N95W TO 14N96W TO 
16N95W TO 15N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N95W TO 
11N99W TO 13N100W TO 15N94W TO 13N94W TO 10N95W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST 
CONDITIONS IMPROVE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. WITHIN 09N100.5W TO 
09N101W TO 10N102W TO 10N101.5W TO 10N100.5W TO 09N100.5W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MERGING NE AND NW SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 16N137W TO 11N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N122W TO 16N137W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. WITHIN 02N126W
TO 03N136W TO 00N140W TO 09N140W TO 04N123W TO 02N126W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NW AND E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29.5N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N139.5W TO 
29.5N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN W TO NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N138W TO 16N139W TO 16N140W TO 
20N140W TO 20N139W TO 17N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
NW SWELL.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 26N111W TO 25N110W TO 26N111W TO 
28N112W TO 29N112W TO 26N111W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.39 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 10N88W TO 11N88W TO 11N87W TO
11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N87W TO 10N88W TO 11N87W TO 11N86W TO
10N87W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC SUN JAN 16...

.SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 121.5W AND 126W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10.5N74W TO 04N81W TO 05.5N95W. THE ITCZ 
EXTENDS FROM 05.5N95W TO 07N129W TO BEYOND 10N140W. NO 
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED AT THIS TIME.


.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

$$


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