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Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary
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099 
WWPS21 NFFN 170900
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 170906 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04F CENTER [999HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 20.1S
160.8W AT 170600UTC. TD04F MOVING WEST AT 14 KNOTS. POSITION POOR
BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 IR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION. SST AROUND 28 DEGREES
CELCIUS.

ASSOCIATED CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT AND HAS SLIGHTLY BEEN
SHEARED TO THE EAST FROM THE SUPPOSED LLCC. THE DEPRESSION LIES IN A
WEAK DIFFLUENT REGION WITH GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM AND
LIES IN A LOW TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND KEEPING IT WEAK WHILE
MOVING IT WESTWARDS.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 48 HRS IS LOW.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------


 NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN
THE AREA.

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