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[148.163.139.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id f8si1969162ybp.455.2022.01.17.05.29.32 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Mon, 17 Jan 2022 05:29:33 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.139.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.139.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.139.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0166260.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 20HDSk67021189 for ; Mon, 17 Jan 2022 13:29:32 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3dkp88gc3h-9 for ; Mon, 17 Jan 2022 13:29:32 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id 848D4E2CA3; Mon, 17 Jan 2022 07:29:32 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.135.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id C350BE14AE for ; Mon, 17 Jan 2022 07:29:20 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166255.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 20H5u3HL015458 for ; Mon, 17 Jan 2022 13:29:20 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3dm7xgu2rt-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Mon, 17 Jan 2022 13:29:19 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 20HDTJtc005363-20HDTJte005363 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Mon, 17 Jan 2022 07:29:19 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.14; Mon, 17 Jan 2022 07:29:18 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.14 via Frontend Transport; Mon, 17 Jan 2022 07:29:18 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id B838C1C0EEE; Mon, 17 Jan 2022 13:29:18 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And Message-ID: <20220117132918.B838C1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Jan 2022 13:29:18 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 impostorscore=0 suspectscore=0 adultscore=0 malwarescore=0 phishscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 mlxscore=0 spamscore=0 bulkscore=0 priorityscore=363 mlxlogscore=691 clxscore=343 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2110150000 definitions=main-2201170086 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Pacific-NW Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 279578 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1642426165-100959-5200" X-Proofpoint-GUID: V_L2waIEbB6dyuD5Wzvz0nKr_h2rXHZU X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: V_L2waIEbB6dyuD5Wzvz0nKr_h2rXHZU X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 priorityscore=1501 impostorscore=0 adultscore=0 malwarescore=0 suspectscore=0 mlxscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 phishscore=0 spamscore=0 mlxlogscore=999 bulkscore=0 clxscore=1015 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2110150000 definitions=main-2201170086 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1642426165-100959-5200 Content-Type: text/plain ABPW10 PGTW 171330 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/171330Z-180600ZJAN2022// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.3S 161.0W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.1S 163.5W, APPROXIMATELY 367 NM EAST OF NIUE. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CONVECTION THAT IS SHEARED WELL TO THE EAST OF A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY MODERATE TO HIGH (15-20KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE STILL IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WHAT 91P WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED AN AREA IN 2.B.(1) TO A LOW. // NNNN ------------=_1642426165-100959-5200 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1642426165-100959-5200--