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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: North Pacific: High Seas Analysis
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Message-ID: <20220117162440.B23291C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Mon, 17 Jan 2022 16:24:40 +0000
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138 
FZPN01 KWBC 171624
HSFEP1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1630 UTC MON JAN 17 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 
TO 50N 160E

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JAN 17. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JAN 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JAN 19.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA 36N158E 985 MB AND INTENSIFYING.
WITHIN 540 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW 37N166E 970 MB. WITHIN 360 NM S SEMICIRCLE
AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS 18 TO 28 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 39N175E 961 MB. WITHIN 180 NM S AND SW
QUADRANTS WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 22 TO 34 FT. ALSO N OF 30N AND
WITHIN 420 NM S...840 NM SW...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO
50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM N AND NE...540
NM SE...AND 1200 NM W AND SW QUADRANTS  WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS
12 TO 24 FT. 

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 48N172E 970 MB DRIFTING W. BETWEEN 420 NM AND 720 NM N AND
NW QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 20 TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 960 NM N...660 NM W...AND 840 NM S AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS
25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT. ALSO WITHIN 240 NM NE OF A LINE
FROM 55N175W TO 52N166W TO 48N160W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO
14 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N168E 975 MB. N AND W OF A LINE FROM
47N160E TO 56N177E TO 57N171W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 24
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 540 NM S AND 480 NM N AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 47N164E
BELOW.

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 42N178W 982 MB MOVING N 20 KT WILL TURN NW AFTER 12
HOURS.  N OF 30N...WITHIN 1020 NM S AND SW AND 300 NM SE
QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N178W 974 MB. FROM 44N TO 48N BETWEEN
173W AND 178W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N179E 969 MB. WITHIN 180 NM E AND NE
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
660 NM S AND 360 NM N AND NE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS
10 TO 20 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N164E 972 MB. N AND W OF A LINE FROM
47N161E TO 51N166E TO 56N172W  WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 28
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 720 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS
12 TO 20 FT. 

...STORM WARNING...
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 36N165E 994 MB. N OF 30N AND WITHIN 360 NM
SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 35N174E 992 MB. FROM 30N TO 36N BETWEEN
175W AND 170E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW 38N173W 986 MB. WITHIN 180 NM S AND SE
QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 38N170W. 

...STORM WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 32N BETWEEN 172E AND 161E WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 38N170W 984 MB. FRONT FROM LOW CENTER TO
30N176E. WITHIN 240 NM E AND SE OF THE FRONT WINDS 40 TO 50 KT.
SEAS 12 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM E QUADRANT AND 420 NM E
AND SE OF THE FRONT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 37N159W 999 MB MOVING NE 30 KT.  WITHIN 300 NM E QUADRANT
AND 180 NM E AND SE OF A LINE FROM LOW CENTER TO 31N167W WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N151W 991 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 480 NM
E QUADRANTS...AND 420 NM E OF A LINE FROM LOW CENTER TO 30N161W
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N149W 989 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N AND E OF A
LINE FROM 55N145W TO 51N136W TO 49N133W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM S AND SE QUADRANTS AND 420 NM E
OF A LINE FROM 51N144W TO 37N147W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14
FT. 

...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 46N167W 986 MB. FROM 30N TO 49N
BETWEEN 158W AND 171W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED WITH NEW LOW TO FORM 49N156W 991
MB. WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15
FT. 

...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 41N160E 987 MB. WITHIN
180 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY
LOW 39N175E DESCRIBED ABOVE.

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N W OF 162W. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 
N OF 57N W OF 158W.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW 48N143W 1009 MB MOVING NW 10 KT. WITHIN 240 NM OF
LOW CENTER WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N147W 1007 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY
LOW 52N151W DESCRIBED IN WARNINGS SECTION ABOVE.

.LOW 43N157W 1004 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 480 NM N
AND NE...AND 360 NM S AND SE QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY
LOW 52N149W DESCRIBED IN WARNINGS SECTION ABOVE.

.SEMISOPOCHNOI VOLCANO AT POSITION 51.6N 179.4E LOCATED 140
NAUTICAL MILES W OF ADAK ISLAND REMAINS IN A STATE OF UNREST
AND LOW LEVEL ASH EMISSIONS ARE POSSIBLE. MARINERS SHOULD 
EXERCISE CAUTION. IF YOU ENCOUNTER VOLCANIC ASH OR FLOATING 
VOLCANIC DEBRIS YOU ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THE OBSERVATION 
TO THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER BY CALLING 301 683 1520.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM W AND NW OF A 
LINE FROM 43N171E TO 60N165W AND 120 NM E OF A LINE FROM 53N129W
TO 46N134W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG W AND N OF A LINE FROM 44N160E TO
55N170W TO 52N154W AND FROM 40N TO 50N BETWEEN 143W AND 155W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG BETWEEN 54N AND A LINE FROM 44N160E
TO 52N175W AND 180 NM N OF A LINE FROM 55N171W TO 58N159W AND
FROM 42N TO 56N BETWEEN 130W AND 145W.

.HIGH 36N135W 1021 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 37N131W 1027 MB.

.HIGH 54N147W 1018 MB MOVING NE 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 57N138W 1020 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH MOVED INLAND.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 34N152W 1016 MB.

.FORECASTER ACHORN. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON JAN 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JAN 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JAN 19.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 10N85W TO 09N87W TO 11N88W TO 12N88W TO 12N87W TO
10N85W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N86W TO 09N89W TO 09N90W TO 11N90W TO
12N86W TO 10N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 08N89W TO 09N90W TO 10N90W TO 12N87W TO
10N85W TO 08N89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.WITHIN 15N94W TO 14N95W TO 14N96W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO
15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N94W TO 11N96W TO 11N99W
TO 14N99W TO 15N94W TO 11N94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N95W TO 14N96W TO 16N96W TO 16N95W TO
16N94W TO 14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 19N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N133W TO 19N140W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN W TO NW SWELL. WITHIN 00N129W TO 00N137W TO 
03N135W TO 03N133W TO 03N130W TO 00N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N132W TO 15N140W TO 23N140W TO 
24N135W TO 21N132W TO 17N132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN W
TO NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 19N128W TO 18N136W TO 21N137W TO 
23N131W TO 22N128W TO 19N128W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N125W TO 14N140W TO 20N140W TO 
23N128W TO 19N125W TO 13N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN NW AND NE SWELL. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 05N79W TO 05N81W TO 06N81W TO 09N80W TO
09N79W TO 05N79W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA... N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1440 UTC MON JAN 17...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
SURFACE TROUGH FROM 07N77W TO 06N89W. ITCZ FROM 06N89W TO 
08N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 02N TO 06N E OF
80W...FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W...AND FROM 11N TO 
20N W OF 128W.


.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

$$


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