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Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Weather Outlook 
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WTIN20 DEMS 110630
REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC SPECIAL TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 11.01.2022
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THEBAY OF BENGAL OF
BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
11.01.2022 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 11.01.2022.
BAY OF BENGAL:
YESTERDAY CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL &
NEIGHBOURHOOD PERSISTED OVER THE SAME REGION WITH VERTICAL EXTENSION UPTO
3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY,THE 11TH JANUARY, 2021.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION
LAY OVER NORTHEAST AND ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:
24 HOURS
24-48 HOURS
48-72 HOURS
72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:
24 HOURS
24-48 HOURS
48-72 HOURS
72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
REMARKS:
NIL
Page 2
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION):NIL: 0%, LOW: 1-25%, FAIR: 26-50%, MODERATE: 51-75% AND HIGH: 76-100%
This is a guidance Bulletin for the WMO/ESCAP Panel Member countries,. Please visit respective National websites for Country specific Bulletins
NO CYCLOGENESIS OVER NORTH INDIAN OCEAN
DURING NEXT 24 HOURS

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