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Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary
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945 
WWPS21 NFFN 172100
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 172300 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04F CENTER [1002HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 19.5S
165.1W AT 172100UTC. TD04F MOVING WEST AT 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD
BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 IR AND VIS IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION. SST AROUND 28
DEGREES CELCIUS.

LLCC EXPOSED AND SHEARED TO WEST OF CONVECTION. THE DEPRESSION LIES
IN A WEAK DIFFLUENT REGION WITH GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE EAST OF THE
SYSTEM AND LIES IN A MODERATE TO HIGH WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND KEEPING IT WEAK WHILE
MOVING IT WESTWARDS.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 48 HRS IS LOW.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------


 NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN
THE AREA.


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