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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: North Pacific: High Seas Analysis
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Message-ID: <20220119162705.8F0AF1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Wed, 19 Jan 2022 16:27:05 +0000
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818 
FZPN01 KWBC 191626
HSFEP1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1630 UTC WED JAN 19 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 
TO 50N 160E

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JAN 19. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JAN 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JAN 21.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 39N176E 959 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 240 NM S AND SW
QUADRANTS WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 22 TO 34 FT. ALSO N OF 30N AND
WITHIN 420 NM SE AND 960 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS
18 TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM N AND NE...660 NM SE AND
1320 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 22 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 40N177W 959 MB. WITHIN 480 NM S AND SW
QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 24 TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
840 NM SE...1080 NM SW...AND 480 NM N AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25
TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 26 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N165W 971 MB. WITHIN 540 NM E AND
NE...900 NM S AND SW...AND 360 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT.
SEAS 16 TO 34 FT.

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA NEAR 36N159E 991 MB. FROM 30N TO
37N W OF 167E WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 37N166E 978 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 20 TO 30 FT. ALSO WITHIN 480 NM E AND SE
AND 300 NM W AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 24
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 660 NM E AND SE...360 NM W AND SW...AND 240
NM N QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT, SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

...STORM WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 37N171W 980 MB MOVING NE 25 KT AND
SECOND CENTER 43N160W 983 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN 240 NM S AND
SE QUADRANTS OF MAIN CENTER WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 21 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM E QUADRANT OF MAIN CENTER...240 NM E AND
180 NM S QUADRANTS OF SECOND CENTER...AND 360 NM E OF A LINE FROM
MAIN CENTER TO 30N177W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 20 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N164W 967 MB. WITHIN 420 NM E OF A LINE
FROM 50N155W TO 40N160W TO 30N167W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO
26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NW...480 NM NE...AND 300 NM S AND
SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 22 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 51N175W 970 MB. WITHIN 540 NM W AND NW
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 20 FT. 

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 48N164E 974 MB MOVING S 10 KT. WITHIN 360 NM NW QUADRANT
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM W
QUADRANT AND N OF A LINE FROM 49N164E TO 52N174W TO 57N168W WINDS
30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 28 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 44N164E 985 MB. WITHIN 540 NM S AND SW
QUADRANTS AND BETWEEN 61N AND A LINE FROM 52N165E TO 51N170W TO
55N162W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 22 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA NEAR 46N159E 990 NM. WITHIN 420
NM N QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. 

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 44N166E 975 MB MOVING E 10 KT. WITHIN 840 NM W QUADRANT
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW
44N164E DESCRIBED ABOVE.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 50N153W 990 MB MOVING E 15 KT. WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW
59N145W DESCRIBED BELOW.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 54N150W 988 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 300 NM N AND NE OF A
LINE FROM LOW CENTER TO 56N146W TO 54N139W TO 52N134W WINDS 25 TO
35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM E OF A LINE FROM
49N144W TO 40N146W TO 30N152W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N145W 996 MB. FROM 48N TO 56N E OF 144W
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM S AND
SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED. 

...GALE WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 56N159W 969 MB WITHIN 300 NM SE
SEMICIRCLE...N OF A LINE FROM 58N152W TO 57N136W...AND WITHIN 300
NM E OF A LINE FROM 57N149W TO 44N151W TO 32N154W WINDS 30 TO 45
KT. SEAS 12 TO 28 FT. 

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N W OF 162W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 56N W OF
160W. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE
FROM 57N174W TO 54N173W TO 56N163W.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.SEMISOPOCHNOI VOLCANO AT POSITION 51.6N 179.4E LOCATED 140
NAUTICAL MILES W OF ADAK ISLAND REMAINS IN A STATE OF UNREST
SO LOW LEVEL ASH EMISSIONS ARE POSSIBLE. MARINERS SHOULD 
EXERCISE CAUTION. IF YOU ENCOUNTER VOLCANIC ASH OR FLOATING 
VOLCANIC DEBRIS YOU ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THE OBSERVATION 
TO THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER BY CALLING 301 683 1520.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 32N BETWEEN 135W AND 144W WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 37N TO 43N BETWEEN 124W AND 129W AREA OF
N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM N OF 46N W OF 165E
AND FROM 51N TO 54N BETWEEN 165E AND 169W AND FROM 56N TO 60N
BETWEEN 160W AND 177W AND N OF 43N BETWEEN 129W AND 155W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 51N TO 56N W OF 170W AND N OF
57N BETWEEN 160W AND 174W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF 46N BETWEEN 162W AND 178W AND N
OF 52N E OF 158W.

.HIGH 37N129W 1028 MB NEARLY STATIONARY NEXT 12 HOURS THEN WILL
MOVE W..
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 37N133W 1031 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.HIGH 35N152W 1018 MB MOVING NE 20 KT..
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 41N135W 1031 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 44N131W 1037 MB.

.FORECASTER ACHORN. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED JAN 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JAN 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JAN 21.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW PRES NEAR 15N136W 1011 MB. WITHIN 20N128W TO 17N133W TO 
18N135W TO 23N135W TO 23N129W TO 20N128W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 23N136W 1011 MB. WITHIN 23N128W 
TO 21N137W TO 23N140W TO 27N140W TO 28N131W TO 23N128W E WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N127W TO 18N135W 
TO 20N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N134W TO 22N127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 24N138W 1011 MB. WITHIN 25N134W 
TO 24N139W TO 26N140W TO 26N137W TO 26N135W TO 25N134W NE TO E 
WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N128W TO 
22N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N129W TO 23N128W E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 20N127W TO 18N140W TO 
23N140W TO 25N130W TO 24N126W TO 20N127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES MOVE W OF AREA. WITHIN 25N140W TO 
25N139W TO 23N139W TO 23N140W TO 25N140W E WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. 
SEAS 12 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 26N134W TO 25N140W TO 30N140W 
TO 30N136W TO 28N134W TO 26N134W E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 
13 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 24N128W TO 19N140W TO 26N140W TO 
30N137W TO 30N131W TO 24N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN NE SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 07N79W TO 05N79W TO 05N81W TO 07N81W TO 09N79W TO
07N79W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA... N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 09N86W TO 09N90W TO 11N90W TO 12N87W TO 11N86W TO
09N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N86W TO 10N88W TO 11N89W TO 12N87W TO
11N86W TO 10N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N86W TO 09N87W TO 11N87W TO 12N86W TO
11N86W TO 10N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N95W TO 14N96W TO 16N96W TO 16N95W TO
16N93W TO 14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N93W TO 13N94W TO 13N95W TO 16N95W TO
16N94W TO 14N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1440 UTC WED JAN 19...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
SURFACE TROUGH FROM 07N77W TO 05N87W. ITCZ FROM 05N87W TO 
06N105W TO 11N127W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 01N TO 06N BETWEEN 
78W AND 81W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
FROM 10N TO 24N BETWEEN 109W AND 133W. 


.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

$$


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