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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary
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612 
WWPS21 NFFN 210000
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 210016 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD05F CENTER [999HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 21.4S
162.4W AT 202100UTC. TD05F SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR FAIR BASED ON
HIMAWARI-8 IR & VIS IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION. SST AROUND 28 DEGREES
CELCIUS.

AN ACTIVE CONVERGENCE ZONE WITH ASSOCIATED CLOUD BANDS WRAPS ARE
DETACHED TO THE EAST OF LLCC. TD05F LIES IN A MODERATE TO HIGH
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF
LLCC. 

TD04F CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO AREA OF HIGH SHEAR AND COOLER SST WITH
LOW POTENTIAL OF ANY CT DEVELOPMENT.
 
GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTH WITH NO
INTENSIFICATION.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 48 HRS IS LOW.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------

 NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN
THE AREA.

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