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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: Roughly Along Long. 52oe To The North Of Lat. 30on. 
Message-ID: <20220121075532.13A831C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Fri, 21 Jan 2022 07:55:31 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 210750
IWB (MORNING) DATED 21-01-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:-

* THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH
PAKISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 ANOTHER WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN MID TROPOSPHERIC
WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS
ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 52OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 30ON.

* AN INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER SOUTH PAKISTAN &
ADJOINING SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN AND EXTENDS UPTO 2.1 KM ABOVE MEAN
SEA LEVEL.

* THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF RAJASTHAN NOW LIES
OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF MADHYA PRADESH AND EXTENDS UPTO 0.9 KM ABOVE
MEAN SEA LEVEL.

*THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH BANGLADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD
PERSISTS AND NOW EXTENDS UPTO 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

* THE TROUGH FROM CENTRAL PARTS OF SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL TO CENTRAL
BAY OF BENGAL AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.

* CONDITIONS ARE  FAVOURABLE FOR CESSATION OF NORTHEAST MONSOON
RAINS OVER TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, KERALA & MAHE AND
ADJOINING AREAS OF COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA AND
SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA ON 22ND  JANUARY, 2022.

RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MOST PLACES OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR,
LADAKH, GILGIT, BALISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH AND
HARYANA,CHANDIRGARH & DELHI; MANY PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH,
PUNJAB, UTTARAKHAND, WEST UTTAR PRADESH AND SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST
BENGAL & SIKKIM; AT A FEW PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS,
ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, EAST UTTAR
PRADESH, RAJASTHAN, MADHYA PRADESH AND BIHAR ; AT ISOLATED PLACES
OVER JHARKHAND, CHHATTISGARH, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA, MADHYA
MAHARASHTRA, KONKAN & GOA AND GUJARAT STATE (.)

DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)

WEATHER WARNINGS:-

21 JANUARY (DAY 1): * THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL
 AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER WEST MADHYA PRADESH AND SOUTH
RAJASTHAN.

* COLD DAY CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER UTTAR
PRADESH.

* DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER UTTAR PRADESH AND
BIHAR.

* STRONG WIND (SPEED 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY LIKELY
OVER NORTH & WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA ALONG & OFF NORTH GUJARAT COAST.
FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS(.)

22 JANUARY (DAY 2): * HEAVY RAINFALL/SNOWFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES
VERY LIKELY OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, GILGIT, BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD,
HIMACHAL PRADESH AND HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED OVER NORTH PUNJAB
AND HARYANA.

*THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL AT ISOLATED PLACES
VERY LIKELY OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB, HARYANA,
UTTAR PRADESH, NORTH RAJASTHAN AND MADHYA PRADESH BIHAR,
SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL AND WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
JAMMU & KASHMIR, GILGIT, BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD, AND CHHATTISGARH.

* STRONG WIND (SPEED 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY LIKELY
OVER NORTH & WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA ALONG & OFF GUJARAT COAST.
FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS(.)=

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