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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: North Pacific: High Seas Analysis
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Message-ID: <20220121093448.23F411C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Fri, 21 Jan 2022 09:34:48 +0000
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058 
FZPN01 KWBC 210934
HSFEP1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1030 UTC FRI JAN 21 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 
TO 50N 160E

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JAN 21. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JAN 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JAN 23.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 37N165E 994 MB MOVING NE 35 KT. WITHIN 300 NM SE AND 420 NM
SW QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM
30N TO 38N W OF 173E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 39N173E 972 MB. WITHIN 180 NM S AND 240 NM
SW QUADRANTS WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 24 TO 34 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N180W 970 MB. WITHIN 540 NM SE AND 300 NM
SW QUADRANTS WINDS 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS 20 TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 360 NM NE...720 NM SE...420 NM SW...AND 240 NM NW
QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N169W 981 MB. WITHIN 240 NM E AND SE OF A
LINE FROM 46N163W TO 38N168W WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 27 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 780 NM NE...1020 NM SE AND S...420 NM SW...AND
240 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT.  

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 52N167W 968 MB MOVING NW 25 KT. FRONT EXTENDS FROM 57N154W
TO 49N151W TO 39N153W TO 30N158W. WITHIN 240 NM NE OF THE FRONT
FROM 35N TO 53N WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 17 TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 1020 NM NE AND 1500 NM SE QUADRANTS E OF THE FRONT AND
WITHIN 600 NM W AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 20
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 61N170W 978 MB. WITHIN 480 NM SE AND 420 NM
SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 63N177W 988 MB. WITHIN 360 NM SE QUADRANT
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 43N166W 970 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. WITHIN 480 NM SE AND 660 NM
SW QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 24 TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 660 NM E...780 NM SE...900 NM SW...AND 480 NM NW QUADRANTS
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N156W 987 MB. WITHIN 360 NM E...480 NM
S...AND 660 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 TO 24 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N150W 998 MB. WITHIN 480 NM SE AND 360 NM
S QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

...STORM WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 33N167E 993 MB. WITHIN 180 NM S AND 240 NM
SW QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 360 NM SE...420 NM SW...AND 360 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO
40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 36N176W 991 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SE AND 360 NM
SW QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 TO 26 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 51N161W 968 MB MOVING N 25 KT. WITHIN 300 NM E AND 480 NM SE
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 60N160W 978 MB. FRONT TO EXTEND FROM
55N149W TO 48N145W TO 34N148W. BETWEEN 540 NM AND 1140 NM SE
QUADRANT AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM E OF THE FRONT WINDS 25 TO
35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 23 FT.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 46N162E 988 MB MOVING S 10 KT. N OF 47N W OF 171E WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N162E 991 MB. BETWEEN 240 NM AND 360 NM N
AND WITHIN 360 NM S QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 41N169E 992 MB. WITHIN 780 NM SE...720 NM
SW...AND 420 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 20 FT.

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NE OF A LINE FROM 59N179E TO
56N166W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NE AND E OF A
LINE FROM 60N180W TO 58N170W. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE
FROM 57N175E TO 59N173W.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.SEMISOPOCHNOI VOLCANO AT POSITION 51.6N 179.4E LOCATED 140
NAUTICAL MILES W OF ADAK ISLAND REMAINS IN A STATE OF UNREST
SO LOW LEVEL ASH EMISSIONS ARE POSSIBLE. MARINERS SHOULD 
EXERCISE CAUTION. IF YOU ENCOUNTER VOLCANIC ASH OR FLOATING 
VOLCANIC DEBRIS YOU ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THE OBSERVATION 
TO THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER BY CALLING 301 683 1520.

.FROM 36N TO 43N BETWEEN 123W AND 129W AREA OF N WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 33N TO 44N BETWEEN 124W AND 132W AREA OF
N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 42N TO 46N E OF 130W AREA OF N TO NE WINDS
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.FROM 30N TO 35N BETWEEN 130W AND 145W AREA OF E TO SE WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS S OF AREA.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM NW OF A LINE FROM
57N151W TO 48N164W TO 48N175W AND N OF A LINE FROM 59N152W TO
56N133W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF 58N W OF ALASKA AND FROM 54N TO
59N BETWEEN 142W AND 150W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF 64N W OF ALASKA AND WITHIN 90 NM
SE OF A LINE FROM 55N153W TO 54N1562W TO 47N175W.

.HIGH 44N132W 1037 MB MOVING NE 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 48N128W 1034 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 47N130W 1030 MB.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 31N163W 1023 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 45N147W 1026 MB.

.FORECASTER BELL. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI JAN 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT JAN 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JAN 23.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW PRES NEAR 23.0N 138.0W 1006 MB. WITHIN 23N136W TO 23N138W TO
24N139W TO 26N138W TO 25N136W TO 23N136W E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. 
SEAS 12 TO 17 FT IN SE SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N127W TO 19N140W
TO 30N140W TO 30N131W TO 22N127W E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT IN SE SWELL.
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 23.0N 138.5W 1006 MB. WITHIN
23N132W TO 
23N140W TO 29N140W TO 30N136W TO 27N133W TO 23N132W E WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT IN SE SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N129W TO
18N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N131W TO 21N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES W OF AREA. WITHIN 24N133W TO 20N140W 
TO 30N140W TO 30N135W TO 24N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 24N138W TO 22N140W TO 30N140W TO 
30N137W TO 24N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW 
SWELL.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 15N94W TO 14N95W TO 16N96W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO
15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N93W TO 15N95W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO
15N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 25 TO 35
KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N94W TO 12N95W TO 13N96W
TO 16N96W TO 15N94W TO 12N94W N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 14N95W TO 15N96W TO 16N96W TO
16N94W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 
30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N93W TO 12N97W 
TO 14N97W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO 13N93W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N95W TO 14N96W TO 16N96W TO 16N95W TO
16N94W TO 14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N95W TO 
11N101W TO 12N102W TO 16N95W TO 16N93W TO 12N95W NE WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 11N86W TO 10N86W TO 10N88W TO 11N87W TO
11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N86W TO 10N88W TO 11N88W TO 12N87W TO
11N86W TO 10N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N86W TO 09N89W TO 11N89W TO 12N88W TO
11N86W TO 10N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.WITHIN 27N110W TO 26N111W TO 29N113W TO 29N112W TO 28N111W TO
27N110W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0800 UTC FRI JAN 21...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
SFC TROUGH FROM 08N79W TO 06N98W. ITCZ FROM 06N98W TO
07N112W...THEN RESUMES W OF A TROUGH NEAR 08N120W TO 08N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ALONG THE TROUGH FROM 04N TO 07N BETWEEN 84W 
AND 87W...AND FROM 08N TO 12N AND W OF 130W.


.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

$$


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