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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: The Induced Cyclonic Circulation Over South Pakistan & Adjoining 
Message-ID: <20220121161839.2BEB91C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Fri, 21 Jan 2022 16:18:39 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 211615

IWB (EVENING) DATED 21-01-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:-

THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN MID & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC
WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS
ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 58OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 30ON.

THE INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH PAKISTAN & ADJOINING
SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN EXTENDING UPTO 2.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
PERSISTS.

THE OTHER WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH
PAKISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF MADHYA PRADESH
EXTENDING UPTO 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH BANGLADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD
EXTENDING UPTO 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

CONDITIONS ARE  FAVORABLE FOR CESSATION OF NORTHEAST MONSOON RAINS
OVER TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, KERALA & MAHE AND ADJOINING
AREAS OF COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA AND SOUTH
INTERIOR KARNATAKA ON 22ND  JANUARY, 2022.

RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/SNOW: AT MOST PLACES OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, LADAKH, GILGIT,
BALISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD AND HIMACHAL PRADESH; AT MANY PLACES OVER
UTTARAKHAND (.)

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MOST PLACES OVER PUNJAB AND HARYANA,
CHANDIGARH & DELHI; AT MANY PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, WEST
UTTAR PRADESH AND SUB-HIMALAYN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM; AT A FEW
PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA,
BIHAR, EAST UTTAR PRADESH, RAJASTHAN, MADHYA PRADESH AND ANDAMAN &
NICOBAR ISLANDS AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER CHHATTISAGARH, GUJARAT
STATE, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA AND KONKAN & GOA (.) DRY OVER REST PARTS OF
THE COUNTRY (.)

WEATHER WARNINGS:-

21 JANUARY (DAY 1): THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL
AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER WEST MADHYA PRADESH AND SOUTH
RAJASTHAN.


DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER UTTAR PRADESH AND
BIHAR.

STRONG WIND (SPEED 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY LIKELY OVER
NORTH & WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA ALONG & OFF NORTH GUJARAT COAST.
FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.

22 JANUARY (DAY 2): \U2666 HEAVY RAINFALL/SNOWFALL AT ISOLATED
PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, GILGIT, BALTISTAN &
MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH AND HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED OVER
NORTH PUNJAB AND HARYANA.

THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL AT ISOLATED PLACES
VERY LIKELY OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB, HARYANA,
UTTAR PRADESH, NORTH RAJASTHAN AND MADHYA PRADESH BIHAR,
SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL AND WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES
OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, GILGIT, BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD, AND
CHHATTISGARH.

STRONG WIND (SPEED 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY LIKELY OVER
NORTH & WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA ALONG & OFF GUJARAT COAST.
FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.=

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