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[148.163.135.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id w1si2547288ybt.680.2022.01.21.17.28.26 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Fri, 21 Jan 2022 17:28:26 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0166257.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 20M1DLlm022705 for ; Sat, 22 Jan 2022 01:28:25 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3dqhx2rfwn-5 for ; Sat, 22 Jan 2022 01:28:25 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id 3982EE1561; Fri, 21 Jan 2022 19:28:25 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.135.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id A9F83E47DC for ; Fri, 21 Jan 2022 19:28:18 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166255.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 20LMH5Vm013749 for ; Sat, 22 Jan 2022 01:28:18 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3dqhx68dy5-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Sat, 22 Jan 2022 01:28:17 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 20M1SGvK024753-20M1SGvM024753 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Fri, 21 Jan 2022 19:28:16 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.14; Fri, 21 Jan 2022 19:28:16 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.14 via Frontend Transport; Fri, 21 Jan 2022 19:28:16 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id 5CD171C0EEE; Sat, 22 Jan 2022 01:28:16 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (invest 93s)// Message-ID: <20220122012816.5CD171C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Jan 2022 01:28:16 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 impostorscore=0 phishscore=0 priorityscore=228 adultscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 malwarescore=0 clxscore=317 suspectscore=0 spamscore=0 mlxscore=0 bulkscore=0 mlxlogscore=384 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2201220004 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Indian-S Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 279793 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1642814899-90867-947" X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: aSZCfYBb-Gw1vHrBGRt6Bo78Hz2a9L5c X-Proofpoint-GUID: aSZCfYBb-Gw1vHrBGRt6Bo78Hz2a9L5c X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 lowpriorityscore=1 spamscore=0 adultscore=0 priorityscore=1501 mlxlogscore=777 mlxscore=0 malwarescore=0 suspectscore=0 impostorscore=0 phishscore=0 clxscore=1034 bulkscore=1 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2201220004 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1642814899-90867-947 Content-Type: text/plain WTXS21 PGTW 220200 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 93S)// REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210151Z JAN 22// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 210200)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17.8S 53.8E TO 17.8S 48.8E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 220000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.8S 53.5E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.9S 57.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.4S 56.5E, APPROXIMATELY 273NM NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 21JAN2158Z AMSR2 89HZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICT FLARING DEEP CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF A PARTIALLY OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-31C), BEING OFFSET BY MODERATE (15-20KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DYNAMIC MODELS INDICATE INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 230200Z. // NNNN ------------=_1642814899-90867-947 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1642814899-90867-947--