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Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary
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354 
WWPS21 NFFN 220900
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 220913 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD05F CENTER [1001HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 24.9S
162.5W AT 220900UTC. TD05F MOVING SOUTH AT ABOUT 08 KNOTS. POSITION
GOOD BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 IR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION. SST AROUND 27
DEGREES CELCIUS.

AN ACTIVE CONVERGENCE ZONE WITH ASSOCIATED CLOUD BANDS LIES DETACHED
TO THE EAST OF THE SUPPOSED LLCC. TD05F LIES IN A HIGH SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE TO THE EAST OF LLCC. 

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHWARDS WITH
NO INTENSIFICATION.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 48 HRS IS VERY LOW.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY FOR TD05F.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.

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