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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: North Of Lat. 28on Persists. 
Message-ID: <20220122155007.771871C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Sat, 22 Jan 2022 15:50:07 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 221200

IWB (EVENING) DATED 22-01-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:-

 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH
PAKISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITH A
TROUGH ALOFT IN MID & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS
AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 65OE TO THE
NORTH OF LAT. 28ON PERSISTS.

 THE INDUCED LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF WEST
RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD NOW SEEN AS A WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE
AREA OVER NORTH RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD. THE ASSOCIATED CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

 NORTHEAST MONSOON RAINS OVER TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL,
KERALA & MAHE AND ADJOINING AREAS OF COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH &
YANAM, RAYALASEEMA AND SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA HAVE CEASED FROM
TODAY, THE 22ND JANUARY, 2022.

RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/SNOW: AT MOST PLACES OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, LADAKH, GILGIT,
BALISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH AND UTTARAKHAND (.)

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MOST PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL,
WEST UTTAR PRADESH, HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI AND PUNJAB; AT MANY
PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, SUB-HIMALAYN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM,
JHARKHAND, BIHAR AND EAST UTTAR PRADESH; AT A FEW PLACES OVER
ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, RAJASTHAN
AND MADHYA PRADESH AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR
ISLANDS, ODISHA, GUJARAT STATE, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA,
CHHATTISAGARH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH AND TELANGANA (.) DRY OVER
REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)

WEATHER WARNINGS:-

22 JANUARY (DAY 1):  HEAVY RAINFALL/SNOWFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES
VERY LIKELY OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, GILGIT, BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD,
 HIMACHAL PRADESH AND UTTARAKHAND AND HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED
OVER NORTH PUNJAB, HARYANA AND WEST UTTAR PRADESH. MODERATE
RAINFALL LIKELY OVER DELHI.

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, HAIL & GUSTY WIND (SPEED
30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER NORTH PUNJAB,
HARYANA AND WEST UTTAR PRADESH; WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL AT ISOLATED
PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, GILGIT, BALTISTAN &
MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, EAST UTTAR PRADESH,
MADHYA PRADESH, BIHAR, AND SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL AND WITH
LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER RAJASTHAN, CHHATTISGARH, GANGETIC
WEST BENGAL, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND,
MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA.

 STRONG WIND (SPEED 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY LIKELY OVER
NORTH & ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA ALONG & OFF GUJARAT COAST.
 FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.

 DUSTSTORM/DUST RAISING WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG SURFACE WINDS
(SPEED 30-40 KMPH GUSTING TO 50 KMPH) VERY LIKELY TO AFFECT MANY
PLACES OVER SAURASHTRA & KUTCH AND ISOLATED PLACES OVER ADJOINING
GUJARAT REGION & RAJASTHAN.

23 JANUARY (DAY 2):  HEAVY RAINFALL/SNOWFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES
VERY LIKELY OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, GILGIT, BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD,
HIMACHAL PRADESH AND UTTARAKHAND.

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, HAIL & GUSTY WIND (SPEED
30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER NORTH PUNJAB,
HARYANA AND WEST UTTAR PRADESH; WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL AT ISOLATED
PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER UTTARAKHAND, EAST UTTAR PRADESH,
CHHATTISGARH, BIHAR, JHARKHAND AND WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ASSAM &
MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA AND WITH
LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, GILGIT,
BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH, EAST MADHYA PRADESH,
ODISHA AND ARUNACHAL PRADESH.=

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