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[148.163.139.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id f62si12005031ybb.574.2022.01.23.21.12.02 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Sun, 23 Jan 2022 21:12:02 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.139.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.139.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.139.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0166259.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 20O41tni021108 for ; Mon, 24 Jan 2022 05:12:02 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3dravqjq74-10 for ; Mon, 24 Jan 2022 05:12:02 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id 0F52EE49DD; Sun, 23 Jan 2022 23:12:02 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.139.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id CEA88E02F4 for ; Sun, 23 Jan 2022 23:11:50 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166259.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 20O523vR012764 for ; Mon, 24 Jan 2022 05:11:50 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3dravqjq6u-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Mon, 24 Jan 2022 05:11:50 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 20O5Bnii018132-20O5Bnik018132 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Sun, 23 Jan 2022 23:11:49 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.14; Sun, 23 Jan 2022 23:11:49 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.14 via Frontend Transport; Sun, 23 Jan 2022 23:11:49 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id E5FED1C0EEF; Mon, 24 Jan 2022 05:11:48 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And South Message-ID: <20220124051148.E5FED1C0EEF@weather.cod.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Jan 2022 05:11:48 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 spamscore=0 mlxscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 clxscore=324 bulkscore=0 mlxlogscore=528 impostorscore=0 malwarescore=0 priorityscore=270 adultscore=0 phishscore=0 suspectscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2201240034 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Pacific-NW Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 279934 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1643001111-90867-2468" X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: jnUFpgl95ti3Wmp7jroYxquMxHN7j54T X-Proofpoint-GUID: jnUFpgl95ti3Wmp7jroYxquMxHN7j54T X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 spamscore=0 mlxscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 clxscore=1015 bulkscore=0 mlxlogscore=921 impostorscore=0 malwarescore=0 priorityscore=1501 adultscore=0 phishscore=0 suspectscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2201240034 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1643001111-90867-2468 Content-Type: text/plain ABPW10 PGTW 240100 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR/HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/240100Z-240600ZJAN2022// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.4N 129.6E, APPROXIMATELY 246NM NORTHEAST OF THE DAVAO, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 232146Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DISPLAY SOME ORGANIZED BANDING WRAPPING INTO A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION(LLC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES OVERALL FAVORABLE CONDITIONS DEFINED BY MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, BEING OFFSET BY FAIR POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (27-28C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. ECMWF AND GFS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE WESTWARD TRACK OF INVEST 91W AND DESPITE THE OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT LIMITED TIME OVER WATER BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL OVER MINDANAO MEANS THE SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TO REACH WARNING CRITERIA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B(1) TO LOW.// NNNN ------------=_1643001111-90867-2468 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1643001111-90867-2468--