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[148.163.135.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id c6si20300815ybb.155.2022.01.25.13.19.31 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Tue, 25 Jan 2022 13:19:31 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0166257.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 20PKA6HD008710 for ; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 21:19:30 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3dt21k1ydr-6 for ; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 21:19:30 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id 41FA1E264E; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 15:19:30 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.135.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 2143DE4D0E for ; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 15:19:19 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166256.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 20PKA3KY016852 for ; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 21:19:18 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3dt48m0vs6-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 21:19:17 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 20PLJGC4013926-20PLJGC6013926 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 15:19:16 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.14; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 15:19:15 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.14 via Frontend Transport; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 15:19:15 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id E22DF1C0EEE; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 21:19:15 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (invest 96s) Reissued// Message-ID: <20220125211915.E22DF1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Jan 2022 21:19:15 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 suspectscore=0 bulkscore=0 impostorscore=0 clxscore=339 mlxscore=0 priorityscore=136 adultscore=0 spamscore=0 mlxlogscore=373 malwarescore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 phishscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2201250127 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Indian-S Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 280015 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1643145562-98093-209" X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: pubM33T-DDPBEh_mHCZsJereE4KY5sPm X-Proofpoint-GUID: pubM33T-DDPBEh_mHCZsJereE4KY5sPm X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 malwarescore=0 clxscore=1034 phishscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 suspectscore=0 bulkscore=0 spamscore=0 mlxscore=0 impostorscore=0 adultscore=0 priorityscore=1501 mlxlogscore=767 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2201250127 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1643145562-98093-209 Content-Type: text/plain WTXS21 PGTW 252130 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 96S) REISSUED// REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/242121ZJAN22// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 130 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.1S 89.9E TO 13.5S 87.9E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 251800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.2S 90.6E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.9S 90.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.2S 90.6E, APPROXIMATELY 374 NM WEST OF COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CONSOLIDATING CONVECTION OVERHEAD OF AN OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO INDICATE MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT DEFINED BY FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY HIGH (30-40KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) TO THE NORTH AND MODERATE TO HIGH (20- 30KT) VWS TO THE SOUTH. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 96S WILL CONSOLIDATE AS IT CONTINUES ON ITS SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 242130). 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 262130Z. // NNNN ------------=_1643145562-98093-209 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1643145562-98093-209--