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[148.163.135.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id l20si21375433ybj.5.2022.01.25.13.38.33 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Tue, 25 Jan 2022 13:38:33 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0166255.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 20PKQiUM005576 for ; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 21:38:32 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3dt1kq2get-4 for ; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 21:38:32 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id 63E52E4D1B; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 15:38:32 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.139.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 234F2E4D0F for ; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 15:38:23 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166258.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 20PKgnTc028057 for ; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 21:38:22 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3dt14aakq0-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 21:38:22 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 20PLcLAd019606-20PLcLAg019606 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 15:38:21 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.14; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 15:38:21 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.14 via Frontend Transport; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 15:38:21 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id 5F47A1C0087; Tue, 25 Jan 2022 21:38:21 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Ocean Message-ID: <20220125213821.5F47A1C0087@weather.cod.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Jan 2022 21:38:21 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 priorityscore=218 phishscore=0 clxscore=338 lowpriorityscore=0 spamscore=0 malwarescore=0 impostorscore=0 mlxlogscore=335 bulkscore=0 mlxscore=0 adultscore=0 suspectscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2201250129 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Indian-N Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 280021 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1643146705-98093-217" X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: 32IJK3bQyExsnM1b7C6sDEqkW-TcsHgk X-Proofpoint-GUID: 32IJK3bQyExsnM1b7C6sDEqkW-TcsHgk X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 mlxlogscore=730 clxscore=1034 impostorscore=0 mlxscore=0 bulkscore=0 phishscore=0 suspectscore=0 priorityscore=1501 malwarescore=0 spamscore=0 adultscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2201250129 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1643146705-98093-217 Content-Type: text/plain ABIO10 PGTW 252130 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/252130Z-261800ZJAN2022// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/252121ZJAN2022// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.9S 90.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.2S 90.6E, APPROXIMATELY 374 NM WEST OF COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CONSOLIDATING CONVECTION OVERHEAD OF AN OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO INDICATE MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT DEFINED BY FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY HIGH (30-40KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) TO THE NORTH AND MODERATE TO HIGH (20- 30KT) VWS TO THE SOUTH. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 96S WILL CONSOLIDATE AS IT CONTINUES ON ITS SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 252130) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT FOR 96S.// NNNN ------------=_1643146705-98093-217 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1643146705-98093-217--