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Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary
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541 
WWPS21 NFFN 290600
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 290818 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD06F CENTRE [1001HPA]WAS ANALYSED NEAR 20.9S
167.5E AT 290600UTC. POSITION POOR. TD06F SLOW MOVING.

CONVECTION PERSISTENT OVER SUPPOSED LLCC AND INCREASING IN VERTICAL
RADIAL EXTENT. ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR. THE SYSTEM LIES UNDER A
MODERATE TO STRONG UPPER DIVERGENT AREA WITH GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE
SOUTH AND LOW SHEAR. SST IS AROUND 29 DEGREES CELSIUS.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT TOWARDS THE SOUTH
IN AREAS OF HIGH SHEAR. POTENTIAL FOR TD06F TO DEVELOP INTO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW. 

****************************************************************
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.

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