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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
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220 
WWPS21 NFFN 292100
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 292321 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD06F CENTRE [1001HPA]WAS ANALYSED NEAR 21.5S
167.5E AT 291800UTC. POSITION POOR. TD06F SLOW MOVING.

CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANISED TO THE EAST OF SUPPOSED LLCC. THE
SYSTEM LIES UNDER A MODERATE TO STRONG UPPER DIVERGENT AREA WITH GOOD
OUTFLOW TO THE EAST OF LLCC AND LOW TO MODERATE SHEAR. SST IS AROUND
28 DEGREES CELSIUS.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT TOWARDS THE SOUTH
IN AREAS OF HIGH SHEAR. POTENTIAL FOR TD06F TO DEVELOP INTO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW. 

****************************************************************
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.

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