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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: An Active Western Disturbance Is Very Likely To Affect Northwest 
Message-ID: <20220130061841.48A1A1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Sun, 30 Jan 2022 06:18:41 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 300600

IWB (MORNING) DATED 30-01-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:-

THE FEEBLE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN MIDDLE TROPOSPHERIC
WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS
ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 70OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 33ON.

AN ACTIVE WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS VERY LIKELY TO AFFECT NORTHWEST
INDIA FROM 02ND FEBRUARY, 2022. AN INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS
LIKELY TO FORM OVER SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD ON 03RD
FEBRUARY, 2022.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER GULF OF MANNAR & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 3.1
KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.

RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS:- AT A FEW PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR
ISLANDS AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND,
MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TIRPURA, SUB-HIMALYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM,
JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, TAMILNADU,
PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA & MAHE (.)

DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)


WEATHER WARNINGS:-

30 JANUARY (DAY 1):

DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER EAST UTTAR PRADESH
AND WEST ASSAM & MEGHALAYA.

COLD DAY CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER
UTTARAKHAND, EAST UTTAR PRADESH AND BIHAR.

COLD WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER SOUTHWEST
MADHYA PRADESH, VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, NORTH MADHYA MAHARASHTRA,
MARATHWADA AND ODISHA.

31 JANUARY (DAY 2):

DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER WEST ASSAM &
MEGHALAYA AND GANGETIC WEST BENGAL.

COLD WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER NORTH
MADHYA MAHARASHTRA AND MARATHWADA.=

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