Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28;
From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion 
Message-ID: <20220130084451.D5AFC1C0087@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Sun, 30 Jan 2022 08:44:51 +0000
MIME-Version: 1.0
Reply-To: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu
Precedence: list
Precedence: bulk
Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1643532294-42315-3262"

This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

------------=_1643532294-42315-3262
Content-Type: text/plain
Content-Transfer-Encoding: Quoted-printable

AXPZ20 KNHC 300844
TWDEP=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sun Jan 30 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: Strong high pressure prevails=20
across the Gulf of Mexico. The pressure gradient between this
area of high pressure and the equatorial trough in the eastern=20
north Pacific continues to support gale- force winds across the=20
Gulf of Tehuantepec region. The area of high pressure will start
to weaken and shift eastward today. This will loosen the pressure
gradient enough to diminish winds below gale- force by this=20
afternoon. Winds will remain strong through tonight before=20
diminishing further by Mon morning. Seas are peaking near 16 ft,=20
with a large plume of 12 ft seas reaching as far as 11N100W.=20
Please read the latest NWS Offshore Zones Forecast issued by the=20
National Hurricane Center at website=20
https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAOFFPZ7.shtml__=
;!!DZ3fjg!s_3jhIeT2QtLg2WaNCbkJTufXAJfA0lMdDDSCidaWvsIbiVs2XYiFQ5xtc_LFOHPD=
aXV-hbF$  for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 07N78W to 05N84W to 06N98W. The=20
ITCZ extends from 06N98W to 05N114W to 07N124W. It then resumes=20
from 05N135W to 04N140W. Scattered moderate convection is from=20
00N to 04N east of 85W. Scattered moderate isolated strong=20
convection from 12N to 22N between 120W and 131W, and from 15N to
20N between 131W and 140W.=20

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

Please see the Special Features section above for more information
on an ongoing Gulf of Tehuantepec gap wind gale event.

Gale- force gap winds prevail over the Gulf of Tehuantepec=20
region with seas to 16 ft. Gentle to moderate winds prevail over
the Gulf of California as well as west of the Baja California=20
peninsula. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere over the open=20
waters off Mexico. Seas are in the 1-3 ft range over the Gulf of
California and 4-6 ft elsewhere over the open waters off Mexico.

For the forecast, see the Special Features section for the Gulf
of Tehuantepec gale-force gap wind event. Building high pressure
west of California will produce increasing NW winds and building
seas over the waters west of Baja California Norte and the
northern Gulf of California the middle of next week.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and=20
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Fresh to strong NE gap winds prevail across the Papagayo region=20
with seas in the 6-8 ft range. Fresh to strong winds and seas to
6 ft are over the Gulf of Panama. Light to gentle winds and seas
of 4-5 ft are elsewhere.

For the forecast, fresh to near gale force NE winds will pulse at
night in the Papagayo region through Mon night. Moderate NE winds
will then continue through the middle of the week. Moderate to=20
fresh N winds in the Gulf of Panama will continue through Mon,=20
increasing to fresh to strong speeds at night. Large NW swell=20
from an ongoing Gulf of Tehuantepec gap wind event will continue=20
to affect the Guatemala and El Salvador offshore waters through=20
this morning. Light to gentle winds are expected to remain=20
elsewhere through Thu.=20

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

A surface trough extends from 17N128W to 07N131W. The pressure
gradient between high pressure over the northern waters and the
surface trough is supporting fresh to strong winds in the
vicinity of the trough, with seas to 9 ft. Gentle to moderate=20
winds prevail elsewhere with seas in the 5-7 ft range.=20

For the forecast, the surface trough is forecast to amplify=20
today while it moves NW. Fresh to strong winds will continue in=20
the vicinity of the trough, with seas peaking near 11 ft. It is=20
possible that a low could briefly form along the trough. If this=20
transpires, then near- gale to gale force winds could occur over=20
the NW open forecast waters.=20

On Mon and Tue, strong high pressure building west of California
is expected to produce increasing N to NE winds and building=20
seas north of 27N. The seas will be a product of both the N to NE
wind waves and large long-period NW swell.

$$
AL


------------=_1643532294-42315-3262
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
Content-Disposition: inline
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

= = = == = =
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL.
------------=_1643532294-42315-3262--