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[148.163.139.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id i125si34309213yba.169.2022.01.30.06.46.39 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Sun, 30 Jan 2022 06:46:39 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.139.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.139.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.139.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0166258.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 20UEMlHW008882 for ; Sun, 30 Jan 2022 14:46:39 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3dvuxqfdem-10 for ; Sun, 30 Jan 2022 14:46:38 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id A050AE6614; Sun, 30 Jan 2022 08:46:38 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.135.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 9A6B9E6605 for ; Sun, 30 Jan 2022 08:46:26 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166255.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 20U6tt3p024770 for ; Sun, 30 Jan 2022 14:46:25 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3dvv2xycme-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Sun, 30 Jan 2022 14:46:25 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 20UEkO3N019085-20UEkO3Q019085 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Sun, 30 Jan 2022 08:46:24 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.14; Sun, 30 Jan 2022 08:46:24 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.14 via Frontend Transport; Sun, 30 Jan 2022 08:46:24 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id 1C0B21C0087; Sun, 30 Jan 2022 14:46:24 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And Message-ID: <20220130144624.1C0B21C0087@weather.cod.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Jan 2022 14:46:24 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 malwarescore=0 adultscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 suspectscore=0 bulkscore=0 phishscore=0 clxscore=333 spamscore=0 priorityscore=304 mlxscore=0 mlxlogscore=963 impostorscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2201300107 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Pacific-SW Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 280371 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1643553989-42315-3394" X-Proofpoint-GUID: aqntU6t-d0UKET1o1JCJ2Oh86AYYhok2 X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: aqntU6t-d0UKET1o1JCJ2Oh86AYYhok2 X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 clxscore=1015 impostorscore=0 spamscore=0 adultscore=0 suspectscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 priorityscore=1501 mlxlogscore=999 phishscore=0 mlxscore=0 bulkscore=0 malwarescore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2201300107 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1643553989-42315-3394 Content-Type: text/plain TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 301500 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/301500Z-310600ZJAN2022// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 14.2S 149.6E, APPROXIMATELY 127 NM NORTH OF WILLIS ISLAND. A 301128Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS SHOWS 20 TO 25 KNOTS MAX WINDS AROUND AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH PATCHES OF 30KTS IN THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY UNDER THE DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 1208Z SSMIS 37GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) PARTLY EXPOSED AND DISPLACED SOUTHWARD FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE OFFSET BY MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AN AGREEMENT OF A WEAK AND SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO A LOW.// NNNN ------------=_1643553989-42315-3394 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1643553989-42315-3394--