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[148.163.139.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id w8si6658645ybs.384.2022.01.30.22.11.23 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Sun, 30 Jan 2022 22:11:23 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.139.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.139.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.139.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0272703.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 20V5Ht7o009631 for ; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 06:11:23 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3dvuq8jx5n-8 for ; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 06:11:23 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id 62052E6DE3; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 00:11:23 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.135.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id C30DFE3472 for ; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 00:11:07 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166255.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 20UK5SOl031915 for ; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 06:11:06 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3dvv2y31ua-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 06:11:06 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 20V6B5hI028861-20V6B5hK028861 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 00:11:05 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.14; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 00:11:05 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.14 via Frontend Transport; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 00:11:05 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id 469211C0EEF; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 06:11:05 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And Message-ID: <20220131061105.469211C0EEF@weather.cod.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Jan 2022 06:11:05 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 malwarescore=0 adultscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 suspectscore=0 bulkscore=0 phishscore=0 clxscore=335 spamscore=0 priorityscore=276 mlxscore=0 mlxlogscore=786 impostorscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2201310044 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Pacific-SW Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 280435 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1643609472-42315-3532" X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: C5413fim8s3MTiaJyi4FuES-GRhO6k34 X-Proofpoint-GUID: C5413fim8s3MTiaJyi4FuES-GRhO6k34 X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 clxscore=1015 adultscore=0 impostorscore=0 suspectscore=0 spamscore=0 malwarescore=0 bulkscore=0 priorityscore=1501 mlxscore=0 mlxlogscore=999 phishscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2201310044 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1643609472-42315-3532 Content-Type: text/plain TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/310600ZJAN2022-010600ZFEB2022// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.2S 149.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4S 150.7E, APPROXIMATELY 123 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WILLIS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 0330Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTIVE SYSTEM WITH LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) DISPLACED SOUTHWARD FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION. AT 310532Z WILLIS ISLAND REPORTED 17-KNOT WINDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST AND A RECENT METOP-B ASCAT PASS SHOWS 15 TO 20-KNOT WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN AND WESTERN PERIPHERIES AROUND AN ELONGATED, PARTLY EXPOSED CIRCULATION UNDER THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD SOUTHEASTWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE OFFSET BY MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT OF GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN ------------=_1643609472-42315-3532 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1643609472-42315-3532--