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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: Panpan 
Message-ID: <20220131061923.CB1E21C0EF0@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Mon, 31 Jan 2022 06:19:23 +0000
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WTIO20 FMEE 310618 CCA
***************CORRECTIVE**************
PANPAN
HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 31/01/2022
AT 0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 021/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

HURRICANE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 31/01/2022 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BATSIRAI) 962 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.9 S / 63.6 E
(FIFTEEN    DECIMAL NINE   DEGREES SOUTH AND
SIXTY THREE    DECIMAL SIX   DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 10 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 140 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS
WITHIN A 15 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 20 NM IN THE
SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 30 NM
RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 35 NM IN THE SOUTHERN
SEMI-CIRCLE AND THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 50 NM
RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 70 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN
QUADRANT AND UP TO 80 NM IN THE SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 70
NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 110 NM IN THE
NORTH-WESTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT
AND UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2022/01/31 AT 18 UTC:
16.2 S / 62.4 E, MAX WIND = 85 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE
28 KT NE: 105 NM SE: 145 NM SW: 190 NM NW: 100 NM
34 KT NE: 65 NM SE: 60 NM SW: 95 NM NW: 60 NM
48 KT NE: 40 NM SE: 40 NM SW: 45 NM NW: 30 NM
64 KT NE: 30 NM SE: 25 NM SW: 30 NM NW: 25 NM

24H, VALID 2022/02/01 AT 06 UTC:
16.7 S / 60.7 E, MAX WIND = 90 KT, INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE
28 KT NE: 110 NM SE: 200 NM SW: 195 NM NW: 105 NM
34 KT NE: 70 NM SE: 90 NM SW: 110 NM NW: 65 NM
48 KT NE: 45 NM SE: 45 NM SW: 50 NM NW: 35 NM
64 KT NE: 30 NM SE: 25 NM SW: 30 NM NW: 25 NM

OTHER INFORMATION:
NIL.=

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