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[148.163.135.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id e15si16914350ybk.167.2022.01.31.03.38.29 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Mon, 31 Jan 2022 03:38:30 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0166257.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 20VAwg5v006364 for ; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 11:38:29 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3dx9hvseak-6 for ; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 11:38:29 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id 01D74E4A13; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 05:38:28 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.135.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 70069E25EA for ; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 05:38:19 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0272704.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 20VBTKJU030735 for ; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 11:38:18 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3dvw81v4d8-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 11:38:18 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 20VBcHBr029846-20VBcHBt029846 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 05:38:17 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.14; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 05:38:17 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.14 via Frontend Transport; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 05:38:17 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id 088C71C0EEE; Mon, 31 Jan 2022 11:38:17 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (invest 98p)// Message-ID: <20220131113817.088C71C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Jan 2022 11:38:17 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 impostorscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 spamscore=0 priorityscore=300 mlxscore=0 malwarescore=0 clxscore=339 bulkscore=0 suspectscore=0 mlxlogscore=578 adultscore=0 phishscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2201310077 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Pacific-SW Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 280457 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1643629101-42315-3585" X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: 8mQC5QMuh_RWDAdsLGhSfWhgnXkJaYh8 X-Proofpoint-GUID: 8mQC5QMuh_RWDAdsLGhSfWhgnXkJaYh8 X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 malwarescore=0 suspectscore=0 adultscore=0 spamscore=0 phishscore=0 priorityscore=1501 mlxscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 impostorscore=0 mlxlogscore=931 bulkscore=0 clxscore=1034 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2201310077 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1643629101-42315-3585 Content-Type: text/plain WTPS21 PGTW 311100 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 98P)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.2S 151.1E TO 14.8S 155.6E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 310601Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.3S 151.3E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4S 150.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.3S 151.3E, APPROXIMATELY 145 NM NORTH NORTHEAST OF WILLIS ISLAND. ANIMATED EIR SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH FORMATIVE BANDING WITH DEEP CONVECTION THAT REMAINS FRAGMENTED AS SHOWN IN A 0854Z SSMIS PASS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VWS AND SOUTHEASTWARD OUTFLOW. DYNAMIC MODELS INDICATE GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 12- 24HRS AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS EASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 011100Z. // NNNN ------------=_1643629101-42315-3585 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1643629101-42315-3585--