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Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within Message-ID: <20220131115351.419D71C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Jan 2022 11:53:51 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 impostorscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 spamscore=0 priorityscore=300 mlxscore=0 malwarescore=0 clxscore=339 bulkscore=0 suspectscore=0 mlxlogscore=472 adultscore=0 phishscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2201310080 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Pacific-SW Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 280459 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1643630038-42315-3588" X-Proofpoint-GUID: 13xCWe2BZAc4NLmHX3SltM28PmK2wCtt X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: 13xCWe2BZAc4NLmHX3SltM28PmK2wCtt X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 impostorscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 spamscore=0 priorityscore=1501 mlxscore=0 malwarescore=0 clxscore=1034 bulkscore=0 suspectscore=0 mlxlogscore=799 adultscore=0 phishscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2201310080 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1643630038-42315-3588 Content-Type: text/plain WTPS21 PGTW 311100 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.2S 151.1E TO 14.8S 155.6E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 310601Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.3S 151.3E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 011100Z. // 9822012918 141S1474E 15 9822013000 140S1479E 15 9822013006 139S1484E 20 9822013012 139S1491E 25 9822013018 141S1499E 25 9822013100 141S1505E 25 9822013106 143S1513E 30 NNNN ------------=_1643630038-42315-3588 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1643630038-42315-3588--