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Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within Message-ID: <20220204023601.438651C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Feb 2022 02:36:01 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 suspectscore=0 bulkscore=0 adultscore=0 clxscore=327 malwarescore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 phishscore=0 impostorscore=0 mlxscore=0 spamscore=0 mlxlogscore=451 priorityscore=266 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202040010 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Indian-S Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 280702 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1643942167-49151-3180" X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: A3BnZc9IThC-mmdXvURS1i6j94ikg7xW X-Proofpoint-GUID: A3BnZc9IThC-mmdXvURS1i6j94ikg7xW X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 lowpriorityscore=0 impostorscore=0 phishscore=0 spamscore=0 mlxscore=0 malwarescore=0 clxscore=1015 priorityscore=1501 suspectscore=0 bulkscore=0 mlxlogscore=786 adultscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202040010 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1643942167-49151-3180 Content-Type: text/plain WTXS21 PGTW 040300 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.9S 83.7E TO 20.1S 82.9E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 040000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.2S 83.6E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 050300Z. // 9022020206 168S 806E 25 9022020212 161S 812E 25 9022020218 157S 819E 25 9022020300 156S 830E 25 9022020306 160S 833E 25 9022020312 162S 835E 25 9022020318 165S 836E 30 9022020400 172S 836E 30 NNNN ------------=_1643942167-49151-3180 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1643942167-49151-3180--