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[148.163.135.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id bf18si508646ywb.131.2022.02.03.18.47.04 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Thu, 03 Feb 2022 18:47:05 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0166257.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 21423A4o004970 for ; Fri, 4 Feb 2022 02:47:04 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3e0qx1sx3n-7 for ; Fri, 04 Feb 2022 02:47:03 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id BE2F3E50D8; Thu, 3 Feb 2022 20:47:03 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.139.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 4D272E50D4 for ; Thu, 3 Feb 2022 20:46:52 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0272703.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 213NmNXU011767 for ; Fri, 4 Feb 2022 02:46:51 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3e0qx1jb06-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Fri, 04 Feb 2022 02:46:51 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 2142koXl020237-2142koXn020237 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Thu, 3 Feb 2022 20:46:50 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.14; Thu, 3 Feb 2022 20:46:50 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.14 via Frontend Transport; Thu, 3 Feb 2022 20:46:50 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id 86FCD1C0EEE; Fri, 4 Feb 2022 02:46:50 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (invest 90s)// Message-ID: <20220204024650.86FCD1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Feb 2022 02:46:50 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 adultscore=0 mlxlogscore=254 suspectscore=0 malwarescore=0 clxscore=328 priorityscore=263 impostorscore=0 mlxscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 spamscore=0 bulkscore=0 phishscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202040011 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Indian-S Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 280704 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1643942815-49151-3201" X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: i9-1iP28TGPIRcYm0FWCjLTUKyzvlSS6 X-Proofpoint-GUID: i9-1iP28TGPIRcYm0FWCjLTUKyzvlSS6 X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 malwarescore=0 priorityscore=1501 suspectscore=0 bulkscore=0 phishscore=0 mlxlogscore=657 adultscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 impostorscore=0 mlxscore=0 spamscore=0 clxscore=1034 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202040011 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1643942815-49151-3201 Content-Type: text/plain WTXS21 PGTW 040300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 90S)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.9S 83.7E TO 20.1S 82.9E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 040000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.2S 83.6E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.5S 83.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.2S 83.6E, APPROXIMATELY 871 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP FLARING CONVECTION PARTIALLY OBSCURING AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). RECENT SCATTEROMETRY DATA REVEALS WINDS OF UP TO 30 KNOTS OFFSET TO THE SOUTH OF THE LLC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT DEFINED BY; ROBUST OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW TO MODERATE (15- 20KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 90S WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS EQUATORWARD BEFORE TURNING TO A MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK AROUND TAU 36. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 050300Z. // NNNN ------------=_1643942815-49151-3201 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1643942815-49151-3201--