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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: 5.8 Km Above Mean Sea Level Roughly Along Long. 75oe To The North 
Message-ID: <20220204090139.9EAD81C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Fri, 4 Feb 2022 09:01:39 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 040300

IWB (MORNING) DATED 04-02-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:-

 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION  OVER NORTH
PAKISTAN AND ADJOINING JAMMU & KASHMIR NOW LIES OVER JAMMU &
NEIGHBOURHOOD BETWEEN 3.1 KM & 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITH THE
TROUGH ALOFT IN MIDDLE & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC LEVELS WITH IT AXIS AT
5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 75OE TO THE NORTH
OF LAT. 25ON.

 THE INDUCED LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER NORTH RAJASTHAN & ADJOINING
HARYANA HAS BECOME LESS MARKED. HOWEVER, THE ASSOCIATED CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION NOW LIES OVER NORTH HARYANA & NEIGHBOURHOOD AND EXTENDS
UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

 AN EAST-WEST TROUGH RUNS FROM THE  ABOVE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION TO
SOUTHWEST BIHAR AND EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

 A NORTH-SOUTH TROUGH RUNS FROM SOUTHWEST BIHAR TO NORTH TELANGANA
ACROSS CHHATTISGARH & VIDARBHA AND EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN
SEA LEVEL.

 A FRESH FEEBLE WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN
HIMALAYAN REGION FROM 06TH FEBRUARY, 2022.

 ANOTHER WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT NORTHWEST INDIA FROM
08TH FEBRUARY, 2022.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER WEST ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 0.9 KM
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER COMORIN AREA & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT
0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.

RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS:- AT MOST PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH,
ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TIRPURA, WEST BENGAL
& SIKKIM, BIHAR, UTTARAKHAND AND HIMACHAL PRADESH; AT MANY PLACES
OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ODISHA AND JHARKHAND; AT A FEW
PLACES OVER UTTAR PRADESH AND JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-
MUZAFFARABAD AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI,
PUNJAB, CHHATTISGARH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM AND TAMILNADU,
PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL (.)

DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)

WEATHER WARNINGS:-

04 FEBRUARY (DAY 1): HEAVY RAINFALL/SNOWFALL IN ISOLATED POCKETS
VERY LIKELY OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND HEAVY RAINFALL IN ISOLATED
PLACES OVER BIHAR, JHARKHAND, WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM AND ASSAM &
MEGHALAYA.

 THUNDERSTORM WITH LIGHTNING AND HAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY
LIKELY OVER UTTARAKHAND, BIHAR, WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ODISHA,
ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND WITH LIGHTNING IN
ISOLATED PLACES OVER  UTTAR PRADESH  JHARKHAND AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR,
 MIZORAM & TRIPURA.

 DENSE TO VERY DENSE FOG IN FEW PLACES  VERY LIKELY OVER PUNJAB,
HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI AND ISOLATED POCKETS OF UTTAR PRADESH AND
DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS OF UTTARAKHAND, RAJASTHAN, MADHYA
PRADESH, CHHATTISGARH AND BIHAR.

 COLD TO SEVERE COLD DAY CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER PUNJAB,
UTTARAKHAND, HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI AND WEST UTTAR PRADESH.


05 FEBRUARY (DAY 2): THUNDERSTORM WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED POCKETS
VERY LIKELY OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND,
MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA.

 COLD TO SEVERE COLD DAY CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY
OVER WEST UTTAR PRADESH AND COLD DAY CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS
PUNJAB, UTTARAKHAND, HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI.

 DENSE TO VERY DENSE FOG IN FEW PLACES  VERY LIKELY OVER PUNJAB,
HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI AND ISOLATED POCKETS OF UTTAR PRADESH AND
DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER UTTARAKHAND,
RAJASTHAN, MADHYA PRADESH AND BIHAR (.)=

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