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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) 
Message-ID: <20220204182933.3BE1B1C0EEF@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Fri, 4 Feb 2022 18:29:32 +0000
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WTIO22 FMEE 041827
PANPAN
HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 04/02/2022
AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 039/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

HURRICANE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 04/02/2022 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BATSIRAI) 934 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 10 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.6 S / 52.0 E
(NINETEEN    DECIMAL SIX   DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY TWO    DECIMAL ZERO   DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 400 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/100 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS
WITHIN A 35 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 40 NM IN THE
NORTH-WESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 50 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 60 NM
RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 70 NM IN THE NORTH-WESTERN
QUADRANT AND UP TO 80 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 130 NM
RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 140 NM IN THE NORTH-WESTERN
QUADRANT AND UP TO 160 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 180
NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 280 NM IN THE
SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 360 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN
QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2022/02/05 AT 06 UTC:
20.1 S / 50.3 E, MAX WIND = 110 KT, INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE
28 KT NE: 195 NM SE: 325 NM SW: 175 NM NW: 165 NM
34 KT NE: 120 NM SE: 175 NM SW: 120 NM NW: 115 NM
48 KT NE: 60 NM SE: 60 NM SW: 70 NM NW: 65 NM
64 KT NE: 40 NM SE: 50 NM SW: 45 NM NW: 40 NM

24H, VALID 2022/02/05 AT 18 UTC:
20.6 S / 48.1 E, MAX WIND = 65 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE
28 KT NE: 190 NM SE: 245 NM SW: 80 NM NW: 140 NM
34 KT NE: 115 NM SE: 125 NM SW: 55 NM NW: 100 NM
48 KT NE: 40 NM SE: 55 NM SW: 45 NM NW: 55 NM
64 KT NE: 25 NM SE: 50 NM SW: 25 NM NW: 30 NM

OTHER INFORMATION:
NIL.=

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