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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) 
Message-ID: <20220205002352.522421C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Sat, 5 Feb 2022 00:23:52 +0000
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WTIO22 FMEE 050021
PANPAN
HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 05/02/2022
AT 0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 040/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

HURRICANE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 05/02/2022 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BATSIRAI) 935 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 10 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.9 S / 51.3 E
(NINETEEN    DECIMAL NINE   DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY ONE    DECIMAL THREE   DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 400 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER3

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/100 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS
WITHIN A 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 50 NM IN THE
NORTH-WESTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 55 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT AND
UP TO 65 NM IN THE SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT.
STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 70 NM
RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM IN THE NORTH-WESTERN
QUADRANT, UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 100 NM
IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 140 NM
RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 160 NM IN THE SOUTH-WESTERN
QUADRANT AND UP TO 170 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 170
NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE
NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT
AND UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2022/02/05 AT 12 UTC:
20.5 S / 49.3 E, MAX WIND = 105 KT, INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE
28 KT NE: 185 NM SE: 300 NM SW: 135 NM NW: 135 NM
34 KT NE: 115 NM SE: 165 NM SW: 95 NM NW: 95 NM
48 KT NE: 60 NM SE: 60 NM SW: 70 NM NW: 55 NM
64 KT NE: 35 NM SE: 55 NM SW: 40 NM NW: 40 NM

24H, VALID 2022/02/06 AT 00 UTC:
20.9 S / 46.9 E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 170 NM SE: 255 NM SW: 80 NM NW: 115 NM
34 KT NE: 105 NM SE: 135 NM SW: 65 NM NW: 85 NM
48 KT NE: 30 NM SE: 30 NM SW: 55 NM NW: 20 NM

OTHER INFORMATION:
NIL.=

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