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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: 
Message-ID: <20220205151054.59CBD1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Sat, 5 Feb 2022 15:10:54 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 051500
IWB (EVENING) DATED 05-02-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:-

 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN MIDDLE & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC LEVELS WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 89°E TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 20°N.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST UTTAR PRADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING UPTO 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE EAST-WEST TROUGH FROM NORTHEAST UTTAR PRADESH TO NORTH BANGLADESH EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH KERALA & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 A FEEBLE WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN HIMALAYAN REGION FROM 06TH FEBRUARY, 2022.

 ANOTHER WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT NORTHWEST INDIA FROM 08TH FEBRUARY, 2022 (.)

RAINFALL FORECAST:- 

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS:- AT MOST PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TIRPURA; AT MANY PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS AND SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM; AT A FEW PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER BIHAR, UTTARAKHAND, HIMACHAL PRADESH, TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA & MAHE (.)

DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)

WEATHER WARNINGS:-

05 FEBRUARY (DAY 1):  THUNDERSTORM WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA.

 COLD DAY TO SEVERE COLD DAY CONDITIONS IN SOME POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER UTTAR PRADESH; IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER UTTARAKHAND AND HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI AND COLD DAY CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH, PUNJAB, MADHYA PRADESH AND ODISHA.

 COLD WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER EAST MADHYA PRADESH, CHHATTISGARH AND ODISHA.

 DENSE TO VERY DENSE FOG IN FEW PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER PUNJAB, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI AND UTTAR PRADESH AND DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, NORTH RAJASTHAN, BIHAR, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA.

06 FEBRUARY (DAY 2):  COLD DAY TO SEVERE COLD DAY CONDITIONS IN SOME POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER UTTAR PRADESH; IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER UTTARAKHAND AND HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI AND COLD DAY CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH AND PUNJAB.

 COLD WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER ODISHA.

 DENSE TO VERY DENSE FOG IN FEW PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER UTTAR PRADESH; IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER PUNJAB AND HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI AND DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, NORTH RAJASTHAN, BIHAR, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ODISHA, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA (.)

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