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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: North Pacific: High Seas Analysis
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
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Date: Sun, 6 Feb 2022 10:14:37 +0000
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961 
FZPN01 KWBC 061014
HSFEP1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1030 UTC SUN FEB 06 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 
TO 50N 160E

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FEB 06. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FEB 07.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FEB 08.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 41N174E 970 MB MOVING NE 30 KT. WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 22 TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM
NE...600 NM SE...SW AND 180 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT.
SEAS 14 TO 26 FT. ALSO FROM 30N TO 45N BETWEEN 170W AND 166E
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N170W 970 MB. WITHIN 360 NM E...300 NM SE
AND 480 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 20 TO 35
FT...HIGHEST NEAR 42N172W. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM NE...900 NM
SE...720 NM SW AND 420 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12
TO 27 FT. ALSO WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 30N170W TO
44N147W TO 52N155W TO 51N179E TO 30N179W TO 30N170W WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 20 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW MAIN CENTER 56N156W 981 MB. WITHIN
300 NM NE QUADRANT...INCLUDING THE SHELIKOF STRAIT AND WITHIN 180
NM NE AND E OF A LINE FROM 57N141W TO 52N134W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT.
SEAS 12 TO 24 FT...EXCEPT TO 10 FT IN SHELIKOF STRAIT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 540 NM NE...1020 NM SE AND 540 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO
35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 18 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
 
...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 56N149W 977 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. WITHIN 120 NM NE AND E OF A
LINE FROM 58N148W TO 58N139W TO 51N131W AND BETWEEN 180 NM AND
480 NM E...120 AND 420 NM SE AND 120 NM AND 240 NM SW QUADRANTS
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 900 NM
SE...360 NM SW AND 240 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8
TO 20 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 60N146W 984 MB. WITHIN 900 NM SE AND 240 NM
W QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 20 FT...EXCEPT TO 10 FT
IN THE SHELIKOF STRAIT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 1080 NM SE...720 NM S
AND 420 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED INTO COMPLEX LOW
WITH MAIN CENTER 56N156W DESCRIBED ABOVE.

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 45N156W 993 MB MOVING NE 40 KT. WITHIN 420 NM E...360 NM S
AND 300 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 TO 24 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM NE...780 NM SE...480 NM SW AND 180 NM NW
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 20 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 57N138W 1000 MB. CONDITIONS DESCRIBED ABOVE
WITH LOW 60N146W.

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 39N162E 995 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN 660 NM SE AND 120 NM
NW QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM
30N TO 42N W OF 167E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 18 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N171E 980 MB. WITHIN 60 NM FROM LOW WINDS
40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 1020 NM SE...960
NM SW...180 NM W AND N QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18
FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 42N175W 984 MB.
WITHIN 720 NM SE...660 NM W AND 120 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO
45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 30N TO 46N BETWEEN 176W
AND 160E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 18 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 51N164E 983 MB MOVING SW 10 KT. BETWEEN 47N AND 48N BETWEEN
166E AND 160E AND BETWEEN 120 NM AND 360 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW OF A LINE
FROM 55N176E TO 59N173W TO 64N165W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N161E 986 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 480 S
QUADRANTS AND WITHIN 480 NM NW OF A LINE FROM 49N180W TO 57N165W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW ABSORBED INTO LOW 42N175W CONDITIONS
DESCRIBED ABOVE.

...GALE WARNING...
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW 39N176W 988 MB. WITHIN 840 NM E...600 NM SE
AND 600 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 TO 28 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 40N169W 984 MB. WITHIN 960 NM NE...600 NM
SE AND 780 NM SW WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 660 NM NW AND N OF A LINE FROM 30N170W TO 37N150W TO
42N145W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 20 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING... 
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N W OF 169W. ELSEWHERE
LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N OF 56N W OF 157W. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 56N W OF
158W. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N OF 55N W OF
158W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 54N W OF
159W. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N AND NE OF A
LINE FROM 52N173W TO 55N171E.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 36N TO 43N BETWEEN 124W AND 128W AREA OF N TO NE WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVED.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 36N TO 42N BETWEEN 124W AND 128W AREA OF
N WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT WHERE DESCRIBED ELSEWHERE...IN THE
BERING SEA N OF 55N BETWEEN 164W AND 170E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO
12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.SEMISOPOCHNOI VOLCANO AT POSITION 51.6N 179.4E LOCATED 140
NAUTICAL MILES W OF ADAK ISLAND REMAINS IN A STATE OF UNREST.
LOW LEVEL ASH EMISSIONS ARE POSSIBLE. MARINERS SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION. IF YOU ENCOUNTER VOLCANIC ASH OR FLOATING VOLCANIC
DEBRIS YOU ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THE OBSERVATION TO THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER BY CALLING 301 683 1520. 

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM WITHIN 240 NM NW OF
A LINE FROM 59N142W TO 57N150W TO 54N149W...AND WITHIN 120 NM NE
OF A LINE FROM 56N173W TO 58N179W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N FROM 55N TO 57N BETWEEN 163W AND
180W AND WITHIN 120 NM NW AND N OF A LINE FROM 44N177E TO 43N176W
TO 48N168W TO 49N158W.
48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 180 NM E OF A LINE FROM 52N132W
TO 57N138W...WITHIN 180 NM N OF A LINE FROM 57N138W TO 
56N156W...WITHIN 120 NM N OF A LINE FROM 45N159W TO 
51N140W...FROM 42N TO 45N BETWEEN 144W AND 148W AND WITHIN 60 NM 
NE OF A LINE FROM 58N174W TO 56N169W.

.HIGH 36N137W 1034 MB NEARLY STATIONARY..
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 43N132W 1035 MB. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 38N146W 1027 MB. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.FORECASTER FUTTERMAN. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN FEB 6.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON FEB  7.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE FEB  8.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 13N95W TO 14N97W TO 16N96W TO 16N94W TO 15N93W TO
13N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO
45 KT. SEAS 8 TO 20 FT. WITHIN 07N95W TO 07N100W TO 12N104W TO 
16N96W TO 12N91W TO 07N95W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 13N95W TO 14N96W TO 16N96W TO
16N95W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. WITHIN 08N92W TO 05N96W TO 
06N104W TO 13N106W TO 16N94W TO 08N92W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94.5W TO 14.5N94.5W TO 15N95W TO 
16N95W TO 16.5N94.5W TO 15N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 15N95W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO
15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 40 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. WITHIN 14N94W TO 13N95W TO 14N96W TO 16N95W
TO 16N94W TO 14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 16N120W TO 10N127W TO 10N140W TO 30N140W TO 21N130W TO
16N120W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N126W TO 11N140W TO 30N140W TO 
24N135W TO 18N127W TO 12N126W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N117W TO 11N127W TO 15N140W TO 
30N140W TO 18N128W TO 15N117W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT.

.WITHIN 10N86W TO 10N88W TO 11N89W TO 12N87W TO 11N86W TO
10N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 10N86W TO 10N89W TO 11N89W TO
12N87W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N113W TO 29N113W TO 30N115W TO
32N115W TO 31N113W TO 30N113W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA...
N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 27N109W TO 24N110W TO 25N111W TO
28N113W TO 29N112W TO 27N109W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA...
NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0930 UTC SUN FEB 6...

.TWO SURFACE TROUGHS WEST OF ITCZ...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N 
TO 16N BETWEEN 120W AND 137W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
SURFACE TROUGH FROM 02N78W TO 05N87W TO 04N97W. ITCZ CONTINUES 
FROM 03N99W TO 06N110W TO 10N121W. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT 
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH EITHER THE TROUGH/ITCZ. 


.FORECASTER RAMOS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

$$


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