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Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary
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009 
WWPS21 NFFN 072100
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Feb 072320 UTC.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
---------------

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD08F CENTER [999HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 18.2S
166.3E AT 072100UTC. TD08F SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON
HIMAWARI VIS/EIR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.

CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST WITH PRIMARY BANDS TRYING TO WRAP
ONTO THE LLCC FROM THE NORTH. ORGANISATION SLIGHTLY IMPROVED. SYSTEM
LIES JUST TO THE SOUTH OF AN UPPER RIDGE IN A MODERATE SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT.
SST AROUND 29 DEGREE CELSIUS.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND SLOWLY MOVE IT
EAST-SOUTHEAST WITH INTENSIFICATION IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS MODERATE TO HIGH.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
---------------

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.

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