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[148.163.135.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id n127si4353651yba.39.2022.02.07.18.48.52 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Mon, 07 Feb 2022 18:48:52 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0166257.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 2181cCZA016278 for ; Tue, 8 Feb 2022 02:48:52 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3e3cw4scqx-6 for ; Tue, 08 Feb 2022 02:48:51 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id 8F1D1E4975; Mon, 7 Feb 2022 20:48:51 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.139.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 64F12E4975 for ; Mon, 7 Feb 2022 20:48:44 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166258.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 217NWpIT009243 for ; Tue, 8 Feb 2022 02:48:43 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3e3a293g3c-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Tue, 08 Feb 2022 02:48:43 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 2182mg3H016358-2182mg3T016358 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Mon, 7 Feb 2022 20:48:42 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.14; Mon, 7 Feb 2022 20:48:25 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.14 via Frontend Transport; Mon, 7 Feb 2022 20:48:25 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id CC34B1C0EEE; Tue, 8 Feb 2022 02:48:25 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Message-ID: <20220208024825.CC34B1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Feb 2022 02:48:25 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 malwarescore=0 phishscore=0 clxscore=303 suspectscore=0 spamscore=0 priorityscore=126 bulkscore=0 adultscore=0 impostorscore=0 mlxlogscore=276 mlxscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202080013 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Indian-S Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 281055 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1644288525-49151-6268" X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: pY1iaO8dovPTUX12KVNzupfJTSEq3ZxY X-Proofpoint-GUID: pY1iaO8dovPTUX12KVNzupfJTSEq3ZxY X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 bulkscore=0 mlxlogscore=681 priorityscore=1501 mlxscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 phishscore=0 impostorscore=0 suspectscore=0 adultscore=0 spamscore=0 malwarescore=0 clxscore=1034 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202080013 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1644288525-49151-6268 Content-Type: text/plain WTXS21 PGTW 080300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.7S 105.6E TO 19.1S 105.8E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 080230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.0S 105.6E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.5S 105.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.8S 105.5E, APPROXIMATELY 203 NM SOUTH OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 072335Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLCC) WITH DEEP BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC. IN ADDITION, THERE IS BROAD, DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PERIPHERIES OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT TO INCLUDE FAIR POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (10-15KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND VERY WARM (29-30) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE INVEST 93S IS A COMPACT SYSTEM THAT WILL TRACK WEST-SOUTHWEST SLOWLY INTENSIFYING OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 090300Z. // NNNN ------------=_1644288525-49151-6268 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1644288525-49151-6268--