Return-Path: Delivered-To: typhoon.messages.ust@gmail.com Received: by 2002:aa6:c782:0:b0:19a:73e2:37bd with SMTP id u2csp488693lkq; Mon, 7 Feb 2022 19:03:41 -0800 (PST) X-Google-Smtp-Source: ABdhPJxJbWPWldtbBCeXwFpLE/VFD4il+4re4vGNFSu/LpCj00hVPTviOmXxXVe1ATsP+Jt6uxhp X-Received: by 2002:a25:903:: with SMTP id 3mr2837707ybj.28.1644289421526; Mon, 07 Feb 2022 19:03:41 -0800 (PST) ARC-Seal: i=1; a=rsa-sha256; t=1644289421; cv=none; d=google.com; s=arc-20160816; b=RDLVhxkhwgnrYM1FK+0oRhR7RxtS5UdnyGtnvZDBivdch23cR/MD1oq0R6iFRAdxFE dJjErYkuHocpm9VDr1RFDM2uEZMnPXOrtsm0oJwuahzVU4bn+Aye8r7h9htMC2BzEY+Y u9p/61ciXMXwc3dQwHXW7MicfmY9+Pa4mbvNkcq8Epaz0iyEFBRiYTYoP3Tg13kIih4v kUTbwPQoCT8mYSVpL7jToQuqBdGMsHdp7zsXUsIcJXPfjoT8CG5YILJk7XcYkHvFX6V0 R4YpZfxryd45AHG2NfJ+BLR+Qi1TH+q4/jjhAIBZ83mHV3aQzQSW6gT1cxrRCjWpHfqa wydg== ARC-Message-Signature: i=1; a=rsa-sha256; c=relaxed/relaxed; d=google.com; s=arc-20160816; h=list-unsubscribe:list-subscribe:list-post:list-owner:list-help :list-id:precedence:precedence:errors-to:reply-to:mime-version:date :message-id:subject:to:from:delivered-to; bh=s/l1eQzlMGbEscf/0HJc6wkummlbH1h5gHJB2/bDbY0=; b=FfnpBYWP/64l/G8f6mJNyCTzxX8uCzD5NAM2azpBltoVQBlUeTRbbSdS08djyNsdtH bDGccjcyYrCZJwUeB766Tmud3WngWQ/aBbHE28mweojgtpqfsSY+54QHiU9TfIeo/tH3 mbbiFf+xeFxgv6lzHxRr4X544TxyOMP1k1eGWjBbCKhJs7vjlB7k/DcEeXRjQboXKd1J yc7Y/9mSqncDr8arsPcT4ZanyLxud+jjhyday2fLuddBZh5sAH+ByGAbCp7qApLSZFs7 gv4hARVZj8/ypK0/P2f4+lEjxy2Nclc/pPhOb0fdg9mdfoTWRSCv5YOhtLC7a9jLZO7M mohQ== ARC-Authentication-Results: i=1; mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.139.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com. [148.163.139.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id q6si8833895ybc.298.2022.02.07.19.03.41 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Mon, 07 Feb 2022 19:03:41 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.139.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.139.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.139.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0166259.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 21827Ptk025872 for ; Tue, 8 Feb 2022 03:03:41 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3e1g2syded-7 for ; Tue, 08 Feb 2022 03:03:40 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id 8492BE46AC; Mon, 7 Feb 2022 21:03:40 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.139.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 8250CE0255 for ; Mon, 7 Feb 2022 21:03:29 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0272703.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 2180lIqL007221 for ; Tue, 8 Feb 2022 03:03:29 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3e3bm2td75-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Tue, 08 Feb 2022 03:03:28 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 21833R94020900-21833R96020900 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Mon, 7 Feb 2022 21:03:27 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.14; Mon, 7 Feb 2022 21:03:26 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.14 via Frontend Transport; Mon, 7 Feb 2022 21:03:26 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id B48D11C0EEE; Tue, 8 Feb 2022 03:03:26 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Message-ID: <20220208030326.B48D11C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Feb 2022 03:03:26 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 suspectscore=0 adultscore=0 spamscore=0 mlxscore=0 clxscore=303 impostorscore=0 bulkscore=0 malwarescore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 priorityscore=126 mlxlogscore=276 phishscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202080014 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Indian-S Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 281057 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1644289413-49151-6272" X-Proofpoint-GUID: 5CFNSIdDj4pswQ9xOeEwKccQsEkh0pYv X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: 5CFNSIdDj4pswQ9xOeEwKccQsEkh0pYv X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 lowpriorityscore=0 phishscore=0 malwarescore=0 priorityscore=1501 adultscore=0 mlxscore=0 mlxlogscore=681 clxscore=1015 bulkscore=0 suspectscore=0 spamscore=0 impostorscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202080014 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1644289413-49151-6272 Content-Type: text/plain WTXS21 PGTW 080300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.7S 105.6E TO 19.1S 105.8E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 080230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.0S 105.6E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.5S 105.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.0S 105.6E, APPROXIMATELY 203 NM SOUTH OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 072335Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLCC) WITH DEEP BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC. IN ADDITION, THERE IS BROAD, DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PERIPHERIES OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT TO INCLUDE FAIR POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (10-15KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND VERY WARM (29-30C)SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE INVEST 93S IS A COMPACT SYSTEM THAT WILL TRACK WEST-SOUTHWEST SLOWLY INTENSIFYING OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 090300Z. // NNNN ------------=_1644289413-49151-6272 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1644289413-49151-6272--