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[148.163.139.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id z201si4074172ywz.404.2022.02.07.19.48.47 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Mon, 07 Feb 2022 19:48:47 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.139.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.139.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.139.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0272703.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 2181GjCm028487 for ; Tue, 8 Feb 2022 03:48:47 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3e3bm2tpcq-5 for ; Tue, 08 Feb 2022 03:48:47 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id DCE46E49C0; Mon, 7 Feb 2022 21:48:46 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.135.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 9C0CBE49B9 for ; Mon, 7 Feb 2022 21:48:32 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166255.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 2182DmwR009407 for ; Tue, 8 Feb 2022 03:48:31 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3e35yaypas-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Tue, 08 Feb 2022 03:48:31 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 2183mUIF006459-2183mUIJ006459 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Mon, 7 Feb 2022 21:48:30 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.14; Mon, 7 Feb 2022 21:48:29 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.14 via Frontend Transport; Mon, 7 Feb 2022 21:48:29 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id 00E981C0087; Tue, 8 Feb 2022 03:48:28 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And Message-ID: <20220208034829.00E981C0087@weather.cod.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Feb 2022 03:48:28 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 mlxscore=0 priorityscore=171 malwarescore=0 clxscore=327 bulkscore=0 impostorscore=0 mlxlogscore=595 phishscore=0 suspectscore=0 adultscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 spamscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202080018 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Pacific-SW Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 281071 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1644292117-49151-6293" X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: 4NdmXx7WIkNcYsh3-9PdBo4jwzNHsmpH X-Proofpoint-GUID: 4NdmXx7WIkNcYsh3-9PdBo4jwzNHsmpH X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 suspectscore=0 adultscore=0 spamscore=0 mlxscore=0 clxscore=1015 impostorscore=0 bulkscore=0 malwarescore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 priorityscore=1501 mlxlogscore=999 phishscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202080018 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1644292117-49151-6293 Content-Type: text/plain TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 080400 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/080400Z-080600ZFEB2022// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080252ZFEB2022// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.7S 165.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.9S 167.0E, APPROXIMATELY 152 NM SOUTHWEST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 071428Z AMSR2 89GHZ IMAGE DEPICT FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). IN ADDITION, THERE ARE DEEP, FRAGMENTED POCKETS OF CONVECTION TO THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PERIPHERIES OF THE LLC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT TO INCLUDE ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW, MODERATE (15-20KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS TO INCLUDE GFS, NAVGEM, AND JMA ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE INVEST 92P GRADUALLY INTENSIFIES OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND TRACKS EAST TOWARD FIJI. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO HIGH.// NNNN ------------=_1644292117-49151-6293 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1644292117-49151-6293--