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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone 08s (batsirai) Warning Nr 026// 
Message-ID: <20220208141642.498591C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Tue, 8 Feb 2022 14:16:42 +0000
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WTXS31 PGTW 081500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (BATSIRAI) WARNING NR 026//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (BATSIRAI) WARNING NR 026
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   081200Z --- NEAR 28.3S 41.8E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   SUBTROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 28.3S 41.8E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   090000Z --- 31.4S 42.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   SUBTROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
081500Z POSITION NEAR 29.1S 41.9E.
08FEB22. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (BATSIRAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
376 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF EUROPA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT
15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS THE BROAD AND RAGGED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC)
HAS BECOME FULLY EXPOSED AS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS BECOME
SHEARED 170 NM FROM THE LLC CENTER WHERE THE INITIAL POSITION IS
PLACED WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS EXTRAPOLATED
WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FROM RECENT SCATTEROMETRY DATA. ANALYSIS
INDICATES TC BATSIRAI HAS TRANSITIONED INTO A SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM
WITH AN EXPANSIVE WIND FIELD. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL
BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 12 FEET.//
NNNN


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