Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28;
From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: FIJI: Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A3 Issued From Rsmc Nadi 
Message-ID: <20220208192036.DFB031C0EEF@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Tue, 8 Feb 2022 19:20:36 +0000
MIME-Version: 1.0
Reply-To: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu
Precedence: list
Precedence: bulk
Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1644348040-49151-6534"

This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

------------=_1644348040-49151-6534
Content-Type: text/plain

WTPS11 NFFN 081800
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A3 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
FEB 081919 UTC.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08F CENTRE 998HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5S 168.2E
AT 081800 UTC.  POSITION POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 EIR IMAGERY AND
PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. DEPRESSION SLOW MOVING.  MAXIMUM
10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 30 KNOTS. 
CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST WITH PRIMARY BANDS TRYING TO WRAP
ONTO THE LLCC FROM THE NORTH. ORGANISATION AND CURVATURE IS
IMPROVING. SYSTEM LIES JUST TO THE SOUTH OF AN UPPER RIDGE IN A
MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD UPPER DIVERGENCE. SST AROUND
29 DEGREE CELSIUS.  GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND
SLOWLY MOVE IT SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WITH INTENSIFICATION IN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON CURVED BAND WITH 0.4 WRAP GIVES DT
OF 2.5. PT AND MET AGREE. THUS FT BASED ON DT YIELDING
T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24HRS.  
FORECASTS :
AT 12 HRS VALID AT 090600 UTC 20.2S 168.2E MOV S AT 03 KT WITH 30 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE
AT 24 HRS VALID AT 091800 UTC 20.9S 167.7E MOV SSW AT 04 KT WITH 40
KT CLOSE TO CENTRE
OUTLOOK :
AT 36 HRS VALID AT 100600 UTC 21.7S 166.8E MOV SSW AT 04 KT WITH 40
KT CLOSE TO CENTRE
AT 48 HRS VALID AT 101800 UTC 23.2S 165.7E MOV SSW AT 05 KT WITH 45
KT CLOSE TO CENTRE
THE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08F
WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 090200UTC.


------------=_1644348040-49151-6534
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
Content-Disposition: inline
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

= = = == = =
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL.
------------=_1644348040-49151-6534--